Serie A
Cremonese - Fiorentina
03/16/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.6
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
9%2:1
6%1:3
5%xG 分解
Cremonese
Fiorentina
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
22%
平局
28%
客胜
50%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
50%
客胜或平局
78%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: Fiorentina is favored with a 50% win probability
- Head-to-head: Fiorentina dominated the last 5 direct encounters with 4 wins and 1 draw
- Current form: Cremonese shows poor form with 0 wins and 4 losses in the last 5 games
风险因素
- Cremonese: Only 56% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available without Jamie Vardy (5G/1A) and Federico Baschirotto (2G/0A)
- Fiorentina: Only 4 days rest since the last match
- Fiorentina concedes an average of 2.09 goals per away game
概述
Cremonese (18th place, 24 points) host Fiorentina (17th place, 25 points) at Stadio Giovanni Zini
Serie A match on March 16, 2026, 8:45 PM
Both teams are battling in the lower part of the table for crucial points in the relegation fight
近期状态
Cremonese shows poor form in the last five games with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses (Form: LDLLL)
The last match ended in a loss
Fiorentina recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games (Form: WLLDW)
Fiorentina won their last match
统计数据
Cremonese scored an average of 0.79 goals per game this season and conceded 1.43 goals
At home, Cremonese averages 0.79 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded
Fiorentina averages 1.07 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Fiorentina averages 1.09 goals scored and 2.09 goals conceded
Cremonese had both teams scoring in 12 matches, Fiorentina in 18 matches
The Stadio Giovanni Zini recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game in 5 matches
In 1 of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 1 of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters, Cremonese has 0 wins, Fiorentina has 4 wins, and there was 1 draw
Cremonese scored 2 goals, while Fiorentina scored 8 goals
The last encounter on January 4, 2026, ended with a 1-0 victory for Fiorentina
关键球员
Cremonese: Federico Bonazzoli (6 goals, 2 assists) and Morten Thorsby (1 goal, 0 assists)
Sebastiano Luperto contributed 1 assist
Fiorentina: Rolando Mandragora (6 goals, 1 assist) and Albert Gudmundsson (4 goals, 3 assists)
Nicolò Fagioli with 1 goal and 3 assists
门将
Cremonese goalkeeper Emil Audero has an average rating of 7.1 this season and 7 clean sheets
Including 4 home clean sheets
Fiorentina goalkeeper David de Gea has an average rating of 6.7 and 5 clean sheets
Including 2 away clean sheets
影响因素
Cremonese scores an average of 0.79 goals at home and concedes 1.21 goals
The Stadio Giovanni Zini has recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In the last 5 matches at Stadio Giovanni Zini, both teams scored in only 1 game and more than 2.5 goals were scored in only 1 game