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Serie A

Como - Pisa

03/22/2026, 11:30 AM

5 : 0
预期进球
Como
2.6
Total xG
3.4
Pisa
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

3:0

10%

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

1:1

8%
xG 分解
COMPIS

Como

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.89倍)
+1.71
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第19位, 相差15位)
+0.18
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.06
Maxence Caqueret替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Álex Valle替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Mërgim Vojvoda替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Jacobo Ramón替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Pisa

防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.76
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.40
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第4位, 相差15位)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.02
Rafiu Durosinmi未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Michel Aebischer未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

76%

平局

16%

客胜

8%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

双重机会

主胜或平局

92%

客胜或平局

24%

非平局

84%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Como with a 76% probability and 2.62 expected goals
  • Form Disparity: Como is unbeaten in their last five games (4 wins, 1 draw), while Pisa has lost four of their last five matches
  • Seasonal Superiority: Como (4th place) shows a strong season performance with a goal difference of +26, contrasting with Pisa (19th place) with a goal difference of -26
风险因素
  • Blunt Attack: Pisa's offense appears ineffective with an average of only 2.8 shots on target
  • Como Squad Depth: Four key players (Maxence Caqueret, Álex Valle, Mërgim Vojvoda, Jacobo Ramón) are not in Como's lineup, although the active starting XI's goal share remains 100%
概述

Como (4th place, 54 points) host Pisa (19th place, 18 points) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Serie A match on March 22, 2026, 12:30 PM

Como is fighting at the top of the table, while Pisa is battling against relegation

近期状态

Como is in excellent form with WWDWW in their last five matches

The team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw

Their last match was a win, continuing their current streak of 2 victories

Pisa, on the other hand, had a difficult run of LLLLW

This means 1 win and 4 losses in their last five games

However, Pisa managed to win their most recent match

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Como displays strong offensive performance with an average of 1.66 goals per game over the season

At home, Como scores an average of 1.62 goals and concedes only 0.69 goals per home game

Como's defense is also solid, conceding an average of 0.76 goals per match

Como kept 13 clean sheets this season, with 7 of them at home

Pisa, however, averages only 0.79 goals per game and 0.8 away goals per match

Pisa's defense is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.69 goals per game, and 1.55 away goals

In 5 games, Pisa kept 5 clean sheets, with only 1 of those away from home

Home games at this stadium averaged 2.0 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Como is currently scoring more frequently (2.3) than their season average (2.0)

Pisa scores consistently (~0.8 goals per game)

历史交锋

In the previous 5 head-to-head matches, Como secured 2 wins and 3 draws

Pisa has not managed to win any of the direct encounters

Como scored a total of 11 goals and conceded 6 goals

The last encounter on January 6, 2026, ended in a 3-0 victory for Como

Como has been the more dominant side in recent head-to-head matches

关键球员

For Como, Anastasios Douvikas with 10 goals and 1 assist, Nico Paz with 9 goals and 6 assists and an average rating of 7.47, and Jesús Rodríguez with 1 goal and 7 assists are important players in the starting eleven

For Pisa, Stefano Moreo with 6 goals and 1 assist, Matteo Tramoni with 2 goals and 2 assists, and Felipe Loyola, who scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and shows a rising form, are noteworthy

门将

Como's goalkeeper, Jean Butez, has made 29 appearances and kept 13 clean sheets

Pisa is expected to start with Nicolás in goal, who kept 5 clean sheets in 5 appearances

影响因素

Como benefits from a clear home advantage, as the team scores an average of 1.62 goals at home and concedes only 0.69 goals

The last matches at this stadium averaged 2.0 goals per game

In 3 of 5 home games, both teams scored, and in 3 of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored

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