Serie A
Cagliari - Napoli
03/20/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.5
1.7
0:1
13%1:1
13%0:2
12%0:0
10%1:2
9%xG 分解
Cagliari
Napoli
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
16%
平局
27%
客胜
57%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
43%
客胜或平局
84%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Mathematical prediction: Napoli has a 57% win probability and an 84% chance of not losing
- Form: Napoli is in top form with 3 consecutive wins, while Cagliari recorded 3 losses and 2 draws in their last 5 games
- History: Napoli dominated head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws, with a 9:2 goal difference in 5 encounters
风险因素
- Cagliari's offense is weak in recent form, with only an average of 0.8 shots on target
- Extensive injury lists for both teams could impact game quality and tactics
概述
Cagliari (15th place, 30 points) hosts Napoli (3rd place, 59 points) at the Sardegna Arena
Serie A match on March 20, 2026, 6:30 PM
Cagliari is fighting against relegation, while Napoli needs crucial points for the top of the table
近期状态
Cagliari's current form (LDDLL) across all competitions shows 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Their last five results are a 1-3 loss against Pisa, a 1-2 loss against Como, a 1-1 draw against Parma, a 0-0 draw against Lazio, and a 0-2 loss against Lecce
Napoli has a form of DLWWW, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Napoli's last five results include 2-1 wins against Lecce, Torino, and Hellas Verona, a 1-2 loss against Atalanta, and a 2-2 draw against Roma
Napoli has won their last 3 games (consecutiveType: W)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Cagliari scores an average of 1.07 goals per game and concedes 1.41 goals per game this season
In home games, the average is 1.07 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded
Napoli scores an average of 1.55 goals per game and concedes 1.03 goals per game
Away from home, the average is 1.54 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded
Cagliari's goal production is currently stagnating at 0.8 goals, while the season average is 1.2 goals
Napoli is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.6 goals)
The Sardegna Arena records an average of 2.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 1 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, while Cagliari secured none
The goal difference of 9:2 clearly favors Napoli
The last encounter on December 3, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
Napoli has been the more dominant team in recent meetings
关键球员
For Cagliari, Sebastiano Esposito stands out with 4 goals and 5 assists, Gianluca Gaetano with 2 goals and 3 assists, and Michael Folorunsho with 2 goals
Michael Folorunsho shows a rising form with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Yerry Mina also shows a rising form with a rating improvement of 1.01
Napoli can rely on Rasmus Højland, who contributed 10 goals and 2 assists, as well as Scott McTominay with 6 goals and 3 assists
Scott McTominay is in rising form with 1 goal in his last 5 games
门将
Elia Caprile of Cagliari made 29 appearances this season and kept 6 clean sheets
For Napoli, Alex Meret was in goal for 9 games and achieved 5 clean sheets
影响因素
Cagliari scored 1.07 goals at home and conceded 1.13 goals per game
Napoli scored 1.54 goals away and conceded 1.31 goals per game
The Sardegna Arena has a statistic of 2.0 goals per game
In 1 of 5 games at the arena, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored