Serie A
AC Milan - Torino
03/21/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.7
0.8
2:0
13%1:1
11%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
AC Milan
Torino
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
64%
平局
23%
客胜
12%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
88%
客胜或平局
36%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for AC Milan with a probability of 64%
- AC Milan's strong defense (avg. 0.72 goals conceded) faces a weak Torino away defense (avg. 2.25 goals conceded per away game)
- AC Milan shows a currently stagnating goal production (avg. 0.8 goals recently) despite their home advantage
风险因素
- AC Milan is missing key offensive players Rafael Leão (9 goals, 2 assists) and Pervis Estupiñán (1 goal, 1 assist)
- Torino currently shows positive form development in goal production (avg. 1.6 goals recently)
概述
AC Milan (3rd place, 60 points) host Torino (14th place, 33 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A match on March 21, 2026, 6:00 PM
Milan aims to consolidate its position in the top ranks
近期状态
AC Milan's form across all competitions is "DLWWL" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The Rossoneri recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
AC Milan's goal production has stalled recently at an average of 0.8 goals, while their season average is 1.6 goals
Torino, on the other hand, shows a form of "LLWLW" with 2 wins and 3 losses
The Granata are scoring more frequently recently with an average of 1.6 goals, compared to their season average of 1.3 goals
统计数据
AC Milan has scored an average of 1.52 goals and conceded 0.72 goals per game this season
At home, they averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded
Torino averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.72 goals conceded
Away from home, Torino conceded an average of 2.25 goals per game and scored 1.08 goals
At the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, the last 5 games saw an average of 1.8 total goals
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and 1 of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters between the two teams, both AC Milan and Torino have secured 2 wins each, with 1 match ending in a draw
AC Milan scored 11 goals, while Torino scored 10
The last meeting on December 8, 2025, resulted in a 3-2 victory for AC Milan
关键球员
For AC Milan, Christian Pulisic (8 goals, 2 assists), Adrien Rabiot (4 goals, 4 assists), and Niclas Füllkrug (1 goal) are players to watch
For Torino, Nikola Vlašić (6 goals, 3 assists), Giovanni Simeone (7 goals), and Duván Zapata (3 goals, 1 assist) are key offensive contributors
门将
AC Milan's goalkeeper Mike Maignan has achieved 13 clean sheets with his team this season
Alberto Paleari, Torino's goalkeeper, has recorded 10 clean sheets with his team
影响因素
AC Milan scored an average of 1.46 goals and conceded 0.85 goals in home games, indicating a solid home performance
Torino conceded an average of 2.25 goals away from home, highlighting a vulnerability on the road
The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza has seen an average of 1.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches