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Serie A

Bologna - Lazio

03/22/2026, 02:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Bologna
1.3
Total xG
2.1
Lazio
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:0

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
BOLLAZ

Bologna

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Remo Freuler替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Lazio

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.47
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
Danilo Cataldi未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
Mattia Zaccagni 未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

32%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

68%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Bologna with a 45% win probability
  • Form advantage: Bologna showed a better record in the last five games (3 wins) than Lazio (2 wins)
  • Historical home advantage: Bologna has been dominant in head-to-head matches at home
风险因素
  • Short recovery: Bologna had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Significant absences for Lazio: 21% of usual starting XI goals and 31% of assists are missing due to the absence of Danilo Cataldi and Mattia Zaccagni
  • Low shot on target efficiency: Lazio averages only 3.2 shots on target per game
概述

Bologna (8th place, 42 points) host Lazio (9th place, 40 points) at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Serie A match on March 22, 2026, 3:00 PM. The game promises a close encounter between two mid-table neighbors

近期状态

Bologna's form in their last five games is W-L-D-W-W

This equates to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The team has won their last two matches consecutively

Lazio's form in their last five games is W-W-D-L-D

This means 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Lazio has also won their last two matches consecutively

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Bologna averages 1.31 goals per game and concedes 1.17 goals

At home, Bologna scores 1.27 goals and concedes 1.45 goals per home game

Lazio averages 1.00 goal and 0.97 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Lazio scores 1.00 goal and concedes 1.38 goals per away game

The Stadio Renato Dall'Ara has seen an average of 1.8 goals per match in the last 5 games

Both teams scored (BTTS) in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna has 2 wins, Lazio has 1 win, and there have been 2 draws

Bologna scored a total of 9 goals, while Lazio scored 6 goals

The last encounter on February 11, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

The recent head-to-head record shows a dominance of the home team

关键球员

For Bologna, Santiago Castro (7 goals, 2 assists), Riccardo Orsolini (7 goals, 1 assist), and Nikola Moro (2 goals, 0 assists) are key players

For Lazio, Gustav Isaksen (4 goals, 1 assist), Pedro (3 goals, 1 assist), and Daniel Maldini (1 goal, 1 assist) are important to watch

门将

Bologna's starting goalkeeper, Federico Ravaglia, has achieved 5 clean sheets in home games this season

Lazio will be without the injured I. Provedel

Edoardo Motta is listed as Lazio's starting goalkeeper and has achieved 7 clean sheets in away games

影响因素

Home team Bologna averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded at home

The Stadio Renato Dall'Ara has seen an average of 1.8 goals per game in the last five matches

Both teams scored in 60% of these games

The stadium's surface is grass

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