Serie A
Parma - Cremonese
03/21/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
Parma
Cremonese
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
30%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Pipeline analysis: Parma has a 70% probability of a home win or a draw
- Form gap: Parma shows significantly better form with WWDDL than Cremonese with DLLLL
- Current goal difference: Parma scores more often recently (1.3) than their season average (1.0), while Cremonese's goal production is stagnant (0.5 compared to 1.0)
风险因素
- Parma scores only 0.73 goals per home game
- Cremonese's goal production is stagnant (0.5), season average is 1.0
- Cremonese has been historically more dominant in recent direct confrontations
概述
Parma (12th place, 34 points) host Cremonese (18th place, 24 points) at the Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A match on March 21, 2026, 3:00 PM
Parma seeks to distance itself further from the relegation zone, while Cremonese urgently needs points in the fight against relegation
近期状态
Parma's last five league matches show two wins, two draws, and one loss (Form: WWDDL)
The last game ended in a loss
Cremonese has one draw and four losses in their last five matches (Form: DLLLL)
They are without a win in four consecutive games (Type: Loss)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Parma scores an average of 0.72 goals per game and concedes 1.24 goals per game
Cremonese has scored an average of 0.79 goals and conceded 1.52 goals
Parma's home games show an average of 0.73 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded
Cremonese's away games feature 0.79 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded
The Stadio Ennio Tardini has an average of 2.4 goals per game
In 60% of Parma's last five home games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40%
历史交锋
In the five previous head-to-head matches, Cremonese secured two wins, Parma one, with two draws
Cremonese scored seven goals, Parma five goals in these encounters
The last meeting on September 21, 2025, ended in a goalless 0-0 draw
Historically, Cremonese has been more dominant in recent direct confrontations
关键球员
For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino (8 goals, 1 assist), Alessandro Circati (1 goal), and Oliver Sørensen (1 goal) are in the starting lineup
Not nominated: Adrián Bernabé (3T/1A)
For Cremonese, Federico Bonazzoli (6 goals, 2 assists), Filippo Terracciano (2 goals), and Jari Vandeputte (4 assists) are important players in the starting formation
Not nominated: Jamie Vardy (5T/1A)
门将
Parma's goalkeeper is Zion Suzuki
Parma's team has achieved 10 clean sheets this season
Cremonese's goalkeeper is Emil Audero
Cremonese's team has recorded 7 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Parma shows an average home scoring rate of 0.73 goals and 1.27 goals conceded per home game
The Stadio Ennio Tardini averages 2.4 goals per game
On this grass surface, both teams scored in 60% of Parma's last five home games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of Parma's last five home games