Serie A
Inter - Roma
04/05/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.9
1.0
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
10%3:1
6%3:0
6%xG 分解
Inter
Roma
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
25%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Inter with 56% probability
- Inter leads the league and shows strong home offense with an average of 2.17 goals and stable defense with 0.72 goals conceded
- Inter dominated the last 5 direct duels against Roma with 4 wins and a goal difference of 7:3
风险因素
- Inter recorded an average of 3.0 shots on target in the last 5 games, indicating a rather subdued offense
- Roma also showed an average of only 2.6 shots on target in the last 5 games, increasing the potential for a low-scoring match
概述
Inter (1st place, 69 points) host Roma (6th place, 54 points) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A match on April 5, 2026, 8:45 PM
The league leaders face a contender for European spots
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Inter's form over all competitions in the last 5 games is WDLDD with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Inter last played two consecutive draws
Inter's goal production is stagnant in recent form with an average of 1.0 goals, while the season average is 2.1 goals
Roma's form over all competitions in the last 5 games is LDLLW with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Roma won their last match
Roma consistently scores around 1.4 goals per game, their form is stable
统计数据
Inter has scored an average of 2.20 goals per game this season and conceded 0.80 goals
Inter kept 15 clean sheets and in 13 matches both teams scored
Roma scored an average of 1.33 goals per game and conceded 0.77 goals
Roma kept 13 clean sheets and in 10 matches both teams scored
Inter is strong at home with an average of 2.17 goals scored and 0.72 goals conceded
Roma scores 1.31 goals per game away and concedes 1.08 goals
An average of 2.60 total goals were scored per game at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
In 3 out of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches between Inter and Roma, Inter secured 4 wins, while Roma won 1 time
There were no draws
Inter scored a total of 7 goals in these encounters, Roma scored 3 goals
The last encounter on October 18, 2025, ended with a 1:0 victory for Inter
Inter has been dominant in recent direct duels
关键球员
Inter: Federico Dimarco with 6 goals and 14 assists this season, most recently 1 goal in 4 games
Hakan Çalhanoğlu scored 8 goals and 2 assists, with 1 goal in his last 4 appearances
Lautaro Martínez scored 14 times and provided 4 assists, most recently 1 goal in 4 games
Roma: Donyell Malen contributed 7 goals, most recently 2 goals in 5 games
Matías Soulé scored 6 goals and 4 assists this season
Lorenzo Pellegrini with 3 goals and 2 assists, recently showed a rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games
门将
Inter goalkeeper Yann Sommer has kept 15 clean sheets in 28 season appearances
Roma goalkeeper Mile Svilar made 30 season appearances and kept 13 clean sheets
影响因素
Inter shows a strong home performance with an average of 2.17 goals scored and 0.72 goals conceded per home game
Roma scores an average of 1.31 goals and concedes 1.08 goals per away game
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza is known for an average of 2.60 goals per game
In 3 out of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and 2 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
The match will be played on natural grass