Serie A
Hellas Verona - Fiorentina
04/04/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.1
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
14%0:1
12%1:0
10%0:2
8%xG 分解
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
28%
平局
33%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
72%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Fiorentina shows significantly better current form (3 wins, 2 draws) and has a higher win probability of 39% according to mathematical analysis.
- Hellas Verona's goal production is currently stagnating (avg. 0.6 goals), while the season average is 0.9 goals.
- Fiorentina is currently scoring more frequently (avg. 2.3 goals) than their season average (avg. 1.5 goals), indicating improved offensive performance.
风险因素
- Hellas Verona scores only an average of 0.75 goals per game at home.
- In Fiorentina's squad, Rolando Mandragora (6 goals, 2 assists), Roberto Piccoli (3 goals, 1 assist), Dodô (1 goal, 2 assists), and Fabiano Parisi (1 goal, 1 assist) are not listed.
概述
Hellas Verona (19th place, 18 points) host Fiorentina (16th place, 29 points) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. The Serie A match takes place on April 4, 2026, 6:00 PM. Hellas Verona is fighting to stay in the league, while Fiorentina aims to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
近期状态
Hellas Verona shows poor form with two consecutive losses (LLWLL). In their last five matches, they recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses.
Fiorentina is in better shape and is unbeaten in five games (DWWWD). They achieved 3 wins and 2 draws in this period.
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Hellas Verona scores an average of 0.73 goals per game this season and concedes 1.73 goals. At home, the average is 0.75 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded. Hellas Verona kept 5 clean sheets this season, 2 of them at home. In 15 matches, both teams scored, and in 18 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored.
Fiorentina scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.47 goals. Away, they score 1.14 goals and concede 1.71 goals. Fiorentina achieved 5 clean sheets, 2 of them away. In 20 matches, both teams scored, and in 18 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored.
The Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi has seen an average of 2.8 total goals in the last 5 matches. In 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hellas Verona had a slight advantage with 3 wins compared to Fiorentina's 2 wins. There were no draws. The goal difference is even at 6:6 goals.
The last encounter on December 14, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Hellas Verona.
关键球员
For Hellas Verona, the following players are notable:
Gift Orban, attacker, with 7 season goals and 2 assists at an average rating of 6.8. His form has been slightly declining recently.
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro, midfielder, with 1 season goal and recently rising form (1 goal, 0 assists, avg 7.21 in last 5 games).
Kieron Bowie, attacker, with 1 season goal and also one goal in the last 5 games.
For Fiorentina, the following players are important:
Moise Kean, attacker, who contributed 8 goals and 1 assist this season.
Albert Gudmundsson, attacker, with 5 goals and 4 assists this season, who scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in the last 5 games.
Cher Ndour, midfielder, who scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games, showing rising form.
门将
For Hellas Verona, Lorenzo Montipò is in goal, having achieved 5 clean sheets this season.
Fiorentina relies on David de Gea, who also recorded 5 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Hellas Verona showed an average goal output of 0.75 goals per game at home, while conceding 1.44 goals.
Fiorentina scores an average of 1.14 goals away and concedes 1.71 goals.
The Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi has an average of 2.8 total goals in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 60% of games and over 2.5 goals in 60%.