Serie A
Udinese - Como
04/06/2026, 10:30 AM
预期进球
0.7
2.1
1.4
0:1
16%0:0
14%1:1
13%0:2
13%1:2
8%xG 分解
Udinese
Como
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
16%
平局
30%
客胜
54%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
46%
客胜或平局
84%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
38%
否
62%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Como with a 54% probability
- Como is in excellent form (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) and significantly higher in the league table (4th place)
- Como's offense is very strong, averaging 3.0 goals in recent matches
风险因素
- The pipeline forecast for Udinese is only 0.66 expected goals
- The probability of both teams scoring is only 38% according to the model
- The Dacia Arena stadium has a low scoring rate of 1.8 goals per game on average
概述
Udinese (11th place, 39 points) host Como (4th place, 57 points) at the Dacia Arena
Serie A match on April 6, 2026, 12:30 PM
The mathematical analysis sees Como as clear favorites with a 54% probability
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Udinese's form in the last 5 games is LWDLW
This includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Como is in excellent form with WDWWW in their last 5 matches
This represents 4 wins, 1 draw, and no losses
Como also has a streak of 3 consecutive wins
统计数据
Udinese averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded at home per game
Como was very effective away from home, averaging 1.83 goals scored and only 0.92 goals conceded per game
At the Dacia Arena, an average of 1.8 total goals were scored per game
Both teams scored in only 1 of 5 matches, and 2 of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Udinese is currently scoring more often (1.4) than their season average (1.2)
Como is currently scoring more often (3.0) than their season average (2.1)
Udinese played counter-oriented in the last 5 games with an average of 41% possession and 3.6 shots on target
Como played possession-dominant in the last 5 games with an average of 63% possession and 4.8 shots on target
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, Como leads with 2 wins
Udinese has recorded 1 win, with no draws
The goal difference of 5:2 favors Como
The last encounter on January 3, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for Como
关键球员
Nicolò Zaniolo (Attacker) scored 5 goals and 5 assists this season, and provided 3 assists in his last 5 games
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (Midfielder) recorded 4 goals and 1 assist this season, and scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances
Christian Kabasele (Defender) scored 3 goals and 0 assists this season, and scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances
Not fielded for Udinese: Keinan Davis (10G/3A)
Nico Paz (Midfielder) has scored 10 goals and 6 assists this season, contributing 2 goals in the last 5 games
Anastasios Douvikas (Attacker) is the top scorer with 11 goals and 1 assist, and scored 2 goals in his last 4 appearances
Lucas Da Cunha (Midfielder) has 3 goals and 4 assists this season, and provided 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games
Not fielded for Como: Jesús Rodríguez (1G/7A), Alberto Moreno (1G/1A), Jacobo Ramón (2G/0A)
门将
Maduka Okoye is the goalkeeper for Udinese
Udinese has achieved 7 clean sheets this season
Jean Butez is the goalkeeper for Como
Como has achieved 14 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Udinese averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded at home
Como is very strong away from home with an average of 1.83 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded
The Dacia Arena venue has a low scoring rate of 1.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in only 20% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 40% of matches
The playing surface is natural grass