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Serie A

Juventus - Genoa

04/06/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Juventus
2.3
Total xG
3.2
Genoa
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

1:1

9%

3:0

8%

3:1

8%
xG 分解
JUVGEN

Juventus

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.75倍)
+1.39
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.10
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.03
全员可用

Genoa

排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Caleb Ekuban未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

68%

平局

20%

客胜

12%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

88%

客胜或平局

32%

非平局

80%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Juventus with 68% probability and 2.34 expected goals
  • Juventus shows positive form development, currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.9)
  • The historical record clearly favors Juventus, who are unbeaten in the last 5 direct duels with 3 wins
风险因素
  • For Genoa, Caleb Ekuban (3G/1A) is not in the starting lineup
概述

Juventus (5th place, 54 points) host Genoa (14th place, 33 points) at the Juventus Stadium. Serie A match on April 6, 2026, 6:00 PM. Juventus aims to stay connected to the top group and secure Champions League qualification.

近期状态

Juventus shows strong form in their last five matches with WDWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Their last game ended in a draw. Genoa's form in their last five matches is WLWWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Their last game ended in a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Juventus averages 1.73 goals scored per game and concedes 0.97 goals. At home, the average is 1.76 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded. Genoa averages 1.20 goals scored and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Away, the average is 1.21 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded. Juventus recorded 11 clean sheets and Genoa 7 clean sheets this season.

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head matches, Juventus dominated with 3 wins and 2 draws, while Genoa recorded no victories. Juventus scored a total of 6 goals in these encounters, Genoa only 1 goal. The last meeting was won by Juventus on August 31, 2025, with a score of 1:0.

关键球员

For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız is an important attacking player with 10 goals and 6 assists this season, his form is rising with a rating of 7.83 in the last 5 games. Jonathan David contributed 5 goals and 4 assists, also with rising form. Manuel Locatelli, with 1 goal and 2 assists, has a season average rating of 7.40 and shows rising form in the last five games (7.86). Genoa relies on Lorenzo Colombo, who scored 6 goals and 1 assist this season. Ruslan Malinovskyi contributed 5 goals and 3 assists. Vitinha scored 5 goals and 1 assist, contributing 2 goals in his last 4 games.

门将

In goal for Juventus is Mattia Perin, who has an average rating of 6.62 in 7 season appearances. Juventus has kept 11 clean sheets this season. For Genoa, Justin Bijlow is the goalkeeper, with an average rating of 6.83 in 9 season appearances. Genoa achieved 7 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

The Juventus Stadium saw an average of 2.6 total goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches. Juventus showed good performance at home with an average of 1.76 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded.

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