Serie A
Cremonese - Bologna
04/05/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.4
1.5
1:1
14%0:1
11%0:0
10%0:2
10%1:2
9%xG 分解
Cremonese
Bologna
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
22%
平局
29%
客胜
49%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
51%
客胜或平局
78%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Bologna is the clear favorite with a 49% win probability according to mathematical analysis
- Bologna's solid away defense (0.95 goals conceded per game) meets Cremonese's weak home attack (0.86 goals scored per game)
- Cremonese is in a form crisis with 4 losses in their last 5 games
风险因素
- Cremonese averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 matches
概述
Cremonese (17th place, 27 points) host Bologna (9th place, 42 points) at the Stadio Giovanni Zini. The Serie A match takes place on April 5, 2026, 3:00 PM. Cremonese is fighting for survival, while Bologna holds a mid-table position. The mathematical analysis places Bologna as favorites with a 49% win probability, a draw is calculated at 29%, and a home win at 22%.
近期状态
Cremonese's form across all competitions is LLLLW. The team recorded 1 win and 4 losses in their last five matches, with the recent win ending a losing streak. Bologna shows a form of LDWWL, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games. This suggests a mixed but more stable performance compared to Cremonese.
统计数据
Cremonese averages 0.83 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per game this season. At home, these values are 0.86 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded. Bologna shows a better seasonal record with an average of 1.27 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. Away from home, Bologna scores 1.26 goals and concedes only 0.95 goals per game. Cremonese has achieved 8 clean sheets this season, Bologna 9. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 12 Cremonese matches and 14 Bologna matches. At the Stadio Giovanni Zini, the last 5 matches averaged 1.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 20% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 20% of matches.
历史交锋
There has only been one direct encounter between these two teams to date. This took place on December 1, 2025, where Bologna, as the home team, won 3-1 against Cremonese. Bologna was the dominant side in this sole encounter.
关键球员
For Cremonese, Federico Bonazzoli (6 goals, 2 assists), Jari Vandeputte (1 goal, 4 assists) with rising form, and Filippo Terracciano (2 goals) are important players. For Bologna, Santiago Castro (7 goals, 2 assists) along with Federico Bernardeschi (2 goals, 1 assist) and Jonathan Rowe (1 goal, 1 assist), both with rising form, are key players. Not nominated: Riccardo Orsolini (7 Goals/1 Assist), Nadir Zortea (0 Goals/2 Assists).
门将
Emil Audero is the goalkeeper for Cremonese; his team has achieved 8 clean sheets this season. For Bologna, Federico Ravaglia is in goal, and his team has recorded 9 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The Stadio Giovanni Zini has a history of averaging 1.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in only 20% of matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in only 20% of matches, indicating generally low-scoring encounters. Cremonese scores an average of 0.86 goals at home and concedes 1.5 goals, while Bologna scores 1.26 goals away and concedes only 0.95 goals.