Serie A
Parma - Napoli
04/12/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
0.7
2.1
1.4
0:1
15%1:1
14%0:0
14%0:2
12%1:2
8%xG 分解
Parma
Napoli
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
18%
平局
31%
客胜
51%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
49%
客胜或平局
82%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- Napoli's Strong Form: The team has achieved five consecutive wins, in contrast to Parma's winless streak in their last five games
- Mathematical Prediction: The pipeline analysis clearly favors Napoli with a 51% win probability
- Offensive Power: Napoli averages 1.52 goals per game this season and 1.6 goals in recent form, while Parma only averages 0.71 goals and 0.8 goals in recent form
风险因素
- Parma's Squad Strength: Only 67% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available, with Mateo Pellegrino (8G/1A) and Sascha Britschgi (0G/2A) not in the lineup
- Parma's Low Shots on Target: Parma averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Parma's Home Weakness: Parma averages only 0.69 home goals per game this season
概述
Parma (13th place, 35 points) hosts Napoli (2nd place, 65 points) at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in a Serie A match. The game will take place on April 12, 2026, 3:00 PM. Napoli aims to consolidate its position at the top of the table, while Parma is in the mid-table.
近期状态
Parma shows poor form in their last five league games with no wins, three draws, and two losses (Form: DDLLD). Their last match ended in a draw. Napoli, on the other hand, is in top form, winning all of their last five league games (Form: WWWWW). Napoli's team has five consecutive wins.
统计数据
Parma has scored an average of 0.71 goals per game this season and conceded 1.26 goals per game. Napoli shows stronger offense with an average of 1.52 goals per game and a better defense with only 0.97 goals conceded per game. At home, Parma scores an average of 0.69 goals and concedes 1.31 goals. Napoli scores 1.5 goals away and concedes 1.21 goals. At Stadio Ennio Tardini, an average of 2.4 goals were scored in the last five games. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games.
历史交锋
In the three head-to-head matches between the two teams, Parma has no wins, while Napoli won once, and there were two draws. Parma scored 1 goal in these encounters, Napoli 2 goals. The last meeting on January 14, 2026, ended in a goalless draw (0-0). Napoli is rated as the more dominant team in recent head-to-head comparisons.
关键球员
For Parma, Adrián Bernabé stands out, scoring 1 goal in 5 games with an average rating of 7.39 and rising form. Mariano Troilo also scored 1 goal in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.10 and also shows rising form. Gabriel Strefezza provided 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.13. For Napoli, Rasmus Højund was successful with 2 goals in the last 4 games. Matteo Politano showed rising form with 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games and a rating of 7.36. Scott McTominay scored 1 goal in his last 5 games.
门将
Parma relies on Zion Suzuki, who kept 3 clean sheets in home games this season. Napoli has Vanja Milinković-Savić in goal, who recorded 6 clean sheets in away games this season.
影响因素
The home advantage for Parma is reflected in an average of 0.69 home goals scored. At Stadio Ennio Tardini, the average is 2.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and over 2.5 goals being scored in 40% of games.