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Serie A

Genoa - Sassuolo

04/12/2026, 10:30 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Genoa
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Sassuolo
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

10%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
GENSAS

Genoa

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.18
Junior Messias替补席 (3球, 0助攻)

Sassuolo

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
Ulisses Garcia未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

30%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

70%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: A home win for Genoa is calculated with a 44% probability
  • Historical Dominance: Genoa has won all 3 head-to-head matches against Sassuolo
  • Goal Production: Genoa's goal production has been declining with an average of 0.8 goals recently, while Sassuolo scores consistently
风险因素
  • Genoa averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Sassuolo averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Genoa (14th place, 33 points) will host Sassuolo (11th place, 42 points) at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The Serie A match is scheduled for April 12, 2026, 12:30 PM. Genoa needs points to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

近期状态

Genoa's form in their last five matches is LWWLL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). Sassuolo's form over the same period is WLLDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Genoa has suffered two consecutive losses recently. Sassuolo managed to win their last game. Genoa's goal production has slowed with an average of 0.8 goals recently, compared to their season average of 1.4 goals. Sassuolo consistently scores around 1.2 goals per game.

统计数据

Genoa averages 1.16 goals scored per game and concedes 1.42 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.19 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded. Sassuolo averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded. Away from home, Sassuolo is nearly balanced with 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded per game. Genoa has achieved 7 clean sheets this season, Sassuolo 6. Both teams scored in 17 Genoa matches and 16 Sassuolo matches. The Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris has seen an average of 4.0 total goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games.

历史交锋

In the three direct encounters between these two teams, Genoa has won all matches. Genoa scored 6 goals in these games, while Sassuolo scored 3. The last match ended in a 2-1 victory for Genoa on November 3, 2025.

关键球员

For Genoa, key offensive players include Lorenzo Colombo (6 goals, 1 assist), Vitinha (5 goals, 1 assist, with 2 goals in the last 5 games), and Leo Østigård (5 goals, 1 assist, with 1 goal in the last 5 games). For Sassuolo, Andrea Pinamonti (8 goals, 3 assists, with 3 goals in the last 5 games), Domenico Berardi (7 goals, 4 assists), and Armand Laurienté (5 goals, 7 assists, with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games) are notable.

门将

Justin Bijlow is in goal for Genoa, having made 10 appearances this season. His counterpart for Sassuolo is Arijanet Murić, with 30 season appearances. Genoa has achieved 7 clean sheets this season, while Sassuolo has 6.

影响因素

Genoa's home form shows an average of 1.19 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded. Sassuolo scores 1.27 goals away and concedes 1.27 goals. The Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris has seen an average of 4.0 total goals per game in the last 5 matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games.

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