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Serie A

Como - Inter

04/12/2026, 06:45 PM

3 : 4
预期进球
Como
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Inter
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
COMINT

Como

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.47
状态上升 (3 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.27
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
-0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.09
Lucas Da Cunha 替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Maxence Caqueret替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Jacobo Ramón替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Inter

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
-0.25
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.24
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.14
Yann Bisseck未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Carlos Augusto替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

32%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Como's strong home form (DWWWD) and defensive strength at home (Avg. 0.61 goals conceded per game).
  • Inter's historical dominance in head-to-head matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 8:0 goal difference).
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 71% chance for a home win or a draw.
风险因素
  • Limited data available for weather conditions
概述

Como (5th place, 58 points) host Inter (1st place, 72 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Serie A match on April 12, 2026, 7:45 PM. Como is fighting for a European spot, while Inter defends their league lead.

近期状态

Como's form across all competitions is DWWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). They are unbeaten in their last 1 match (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Inter's recent form is DLDDW. Inter is unbeaten in their last 1 match (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss).

统计数据

Como averages 1.71 goals scored per game and concedes 0.71 goals. At home, they score 1.72 goals and concede 0.61 goals. Inter averages 2.29 goals per match and concedes 0.84 goals. Away, they score 2.25 goals and concede 0.92 goals. At Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, the last 5 matches averaged 3.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Inter secured 3 wins and there was 1 draw. Como has not won any matches so far. The goal difference is 0:8 in favor of Inter. The last encounter on March 3, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw.

关键球员

Nico Paz (Midfielder) has 10 goals and 6 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 0 assists with an average rating of 7.50. Anastasios Douvikas (Attacker) has 11 goals and 1 assist this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 0 assists with an average rating of 6.84. Martin Baturina (Midfielder) contributed 6 goals and 3 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 0 assists with an average rating of 7.02. Marcus Thuram (Attacker) recorded 8 goals and 5 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists with an average rating of 7.36. Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Midfielder) scored 9 goals and 3 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist with an average rating of 7.48. Nicolò Barella (Midfielder) contributed 2 goals and 7 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists with an average rating of 7.40.

门将

Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez achieved 15 clean sheets this season. Inter's goalkeeper Yann Sommer also recorded 15 clean sheets.

影响因素

Como has scored an average of 1.72 goals and conceded 0.61 goals at home, indicating a home advantage. At Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, the average is 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80% of games. The match will be played on grass.

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