Serie A
Roma - Pisa
04/10/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
2.0
2.6
0.6
2:0
15%3:0
10%1:1
10%2:1
9%3:1
6%xG 分解
Roma
Pisa
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
71%
平局
21%
客胜
8%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
92%
客胜或平局
29%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- Pipeline analysis: Roma has a high home win probability of 71% with 2.03 predicted goals
- Offensive/Defensive disparity: Roma's solid home defense (Avg. 0.53 goals conceded) meets Pisa's weak away offense (Avg. 0.73 goals scored) and vulnerable away defense (Avg. 1.64 goals conceded)
- Form trend (Advanced Stats): Roma's current goal production (1.6 goals) is higher than the season average (1.5 goals), while Pisa's production is declining (0.6 vs 0.8 goals)
风险因素
- Both teams recently show relatively few shots on target (Roma Avg. 3.0, Pisa Avg. 2.4), suggesting fewer clear-cut chances
- Roma has several key players unavailable due to injury, which could impact squad depth and performance
- Despite positive trends in advanced stats, Roma's home form (D-L-L-W-L) in recent matches shows mixed results
概述
Roma (6th place, 54 points) host Pisa (20th place, 18 points) at the Stadio Olimpico
Serie A match on April 10, 2026, 8:45 PM
The Giallorossi are fighting for European spots, while Pisa are in a relegation battle
近期状态
Roma's form in the last five matches is D-L-L-W-L (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Pisa's form in the last five matches is L-L-W-L-L (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)
For Roma, the analysis describes a positive form trend, as they are currently scoring more often (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals)
Pisa, however, shows a negative form trend with faltering goal production (0.6 goals currently compared to 0.8 goals season average)
统计数据
Roma averages 1.35 goals scored per game and concedes 0.90 goals per match
At home, the Giallorossi are strong with an average of 1.35 goals scored and only 0.53 goals conceded per home game
Pisa averages 0.74 goals scored per game and concedes 1.77 goals per match
Away from home, Pisa averages 0.73 goals scored and concedes 1.64 goals per away game
At the Stadio Olimpico, an average of 2.8 total goals have been scored in recent matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games
历史交锋
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these teams
Roma won this game at home with a score of 1:0 on August 30, 2025
Historically, the home team has dominated this fixture
关键球员
Lorenzo Pellegrini shows a rising form with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches
Donyell Malen has scored 7 season goals in 11 appearances and has played in 5/5 games
Matías Soulé has contributed 6 goals and 4 assists this season
For Pisa, Stefano Moreo has scored 6 season goals
Antonio Caracciolo scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches
Mehdi Léris contributed 1 goal and 3 assists this season
门将
Roma's goalkeeper, Mile Svilar, played 31 season games and kept 13 clean sheets
Adrian Semper, Pisa's goalkeeper, played in 18 games and achieved 1 clean sheet
影响因素
Roma shows solid home strength with an average of 1.35 goals scored and only 0.53 goals conceded in home games
Pisa, on the other hand, struggles away from home, scoring only 0.73 goals on average while conceding 1.64 goals
At the Stadio Olimpico, an average of 2.8 goals per game have been scored in the last 5 matches