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Serie A

Fiorentina - Lazio

04/13/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Fiorentina
1.8
Total xG
2.9
Lazio
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
FIOLAZ

Fiorentina

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.89
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.20
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第9位, 相差7位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.05
Albert Gudmundsson未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Moise Kean替补席 (8球, 1助攻)
Nicolò Fagioli未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Fabiano Parisi未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅73%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.4球)

Lazio

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
-0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.11
防守不足 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.05
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第16位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Danilo Cataldi替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
Gustav Isaksen替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Adam Marusic未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Daniel Maldini未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

26%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

74%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Fiorentina with a 51% probability
  • Lazio is unbeaten in their last 5 games with 3 wins and 2 draws
  • Fiorentina dominates recent head-to-head matches with 3 wins against 1 loss in 5 encounters
风险因素
  • The mathematical analysis indicates a high probability of a draw at 26%
  • The model predicts a high 57% probability for both teams to score
  • Limited data availability for total duels statistics in the last 5 matches
概述

Fiorentina (16th place, 32 points) host Lazio (9th place, 44 points) at the Stadio Artemio Franchi for a Serie A match on April 13, 2026, 8:45 PM

Fiorentina is in the lower half of the table, while Lazio holds an upper table position

The home team aims to improve its league standing, while the visitors seek to consolidate their position in the upper mid-table

近期状态

Fiorentina's form in the last 5 games is WWDWL (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

The last result was a 0-3 loss against Crystal Palace

Lazio shows a form of DWWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last 5 matches

The last game ended in a 1-1 draw against Parma

Lazio is unbeaten in 5 games and demonstrates a stronger recent form

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Fiorentina scores an average of 1.16 goals per game and concedes 1.42 goals

At home, Fiorentina averages 1.19 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded

Lazio scores an average of 1.03 goals per game and concedes 0.94 goals

Away from home, Lazio averages 1 goal scored and 1.1 goals conceded

The Stadio Artemio Franchi has seen an average of 2.4 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina recorded 3 wins, Lazio 1 win, and there was 1 draw

Fiorentina scored 8 goals, while Lazio scored 6 goals

The last encounter on January 7, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw

The home team (Fiorentina) has dominated recent direct confrontations

关键球员

For Fiorentina, Roberto Piccoli (attacker) shows rising form in the last 5 games with 2 goals and 1 assist

Rolando Mandragora (midfielder) recorded 2 assists in the last 5 games

Cher Ndour (midfielder) scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games

Not nominated for Fiorentina: Albert Gudmundsson (5G/4A), Moise Kean (8G/1A), Nicolò Fagioli (2G/3A), Fabiano Parisi (1G/1A)

For Lazio, Kenneth Taylor (midfielder) is in rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Mattia Zaccagni (attacker) and Boulaye Dia (attacker) showed stable performances in the last 5 games

Not nominated for Lazio: Danilo Cataldi (3G/3A), Gustav Isaksen (4G/1A), Adam Marusic (1G/2A), Daniel Maldini (1G/1A)

门将

Fiorentina's goalkeeper, David de Gea, has played in 31 appearances

Fiorentina's team achieved 6 clean sheets this season

Lazio's goalkeeper, Edoardo Motta, has made 4 appearances

Lazio's team has recorded 14 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Fiorentina scored an average of 1.19 goals at home and conceded 1.25 goals

Lazio scored an average of 1 goal away and conceded 1.1 goals

The Stadio Artemio Franchi recorded an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of cases, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40%

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