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Serie A

Sassuolo - Como

04/17/2026, 04:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Sassuolo
0.7
Total xG
2.2
Como
1.4
最可能的比分

0:1

15%

1:1

14%

0:0

13%

0:2

12%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
SASCOM

Sassuolo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.73
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.06
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第5位, 相差6位)
-0.05
Domenico Berardi未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Andrea Pinamonti替补席 (8球, 3助攻)
Ulisses Garcia替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅73%可用)

Como

状态上升 (3 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.26
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.20
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.08
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第11位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Anastasios Douvikas 替补席 (11球, 1助攻)
Máximo Perrone替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Álex Valle替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2.1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

18%

平局

30%

客胜

52%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

48%

客胜或平局

82%

非平局

70%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Como's mathematically calculated win probability of 52% is the highest in the match
  • Como's dominant Head-to-Head record with 2 wins and 5:0 goals in 2 encounters
  • Como's positive current form compared to Sassuolo's negative form
风险因素
  • Sassuolo's negative form trend according to advanced statistics
  • Sassuolo averaged only 3.2 shots on target in the last 5 games
概述

Sassuolo (11th place, 42 points) host Como (5th place, 58 points) at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Serie A match on April 17, 2026, 6:30 PM

Como is fighting for European spots, while Sassuolo is in the mid-table of the league

The mathematical analysis sees Como as favorites with a 52% win probability

近期状态

Sassuolo's form in the last five games (all competitions) is LLDWL

This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

The last match was a 1-2 away loss against Genoa

Como's form in the last five games (all competitions) is WWWDL

This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last match was a 3-4 home loss against Inter

According to advanced statistics, Sassuolo's current form is negative, while Como's form is positive

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sassuolo averages 1.22 goals scored per game and concedes 1.34 goals per game this season

Como shows a stronger offense with an average of 1.75 goals scored and a more solid defense with 0.81 goals conceded per game

In home games, Sassuolo averages 1.19 goals scored and concedes 1.38 goals

Como scores 1.69 goals per game away from home and concedes only 0.85 goals

Sassuolo achieved 6 clean sheets, while Como kept a clean sheet in 15 games

The stadium saw an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

2 out of 5 games at the stadium ended with both teams scoring, and 4 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches between Sassuolo and Como

Como won both of these matches, Sassuolo none, and there were no draws

The goal difference in these duels is 5:0 in favor of Como

The last encounter on November 28, 2025, ended with a 0-2 away win for Como

Como was dominant in recent head-to-head matches

关键球员

For Sassuolo, the following players are notable:

Armand Laurienté (Attacker) scored 5 goals and 7 assists this season, his form is stable with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Ismaël Koné (Midfielder) has 6 goals this season, his form is stable with 1 goal in the last 4 games

Kristian Thorstvedt (Midfielder) contributed 3 goals and 3 assists this season and shows stable form

Not nominated for Sassuolo are: Domenico Berardi (7G/4A), Andrea Pinamonti (8G/3A), Ulisses Garcia (1G/1A)

For Como, the following players are notable:

Nico Paz (Midfielder) is an important player with 11 goals and 6 assists this season, his form is stable with 3 goals in the last 5 games

Lucas Da Cunha (Midfielder) recorded 4 goals and 4 assists this season, his form is rising with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Martin Baturina (Midfielder) scored 6 goals and 3 assists this season, his form is declining with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Not nominated for Como are: Anastasios Douvikas (11G/1A), Máximo Perrone (3G/4A), Álex Valle (1G/4A)

门将

Sassuolo's goalkeeper Stefano Turati has 1 season appearance

The team achieved a total of 6 clean sheets

Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez has 32 season appearances

The team recorded 15 clean sheets

影响因素

The MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore saw an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

In 2 out of 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 4 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored

Sassuolo scores an average of 1.19 goals at home and concedes 1.38 goals

Como shows strong away performance with 1.69 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded

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