Serie A
Juventus - Bologna
04/19/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.0
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%1:2
6%xG 分解
Juventus
Bologna
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
25%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Juventus home strength: Juventus is very strong at home, averaging 1.68 goals scored and 0.68 goals conceded at home
- Form difference: Juventus is unbeaten in their last 5 games (WWDWW), while Bologna recorded 3 losses in 5 games (LWLWL)
- Pipeline forecast: The mathematical analysis gives a clear favorite role for a home win with 54%
风险因素
- Tight schedule: Bologna had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could affect their physical condition
- Historical draw tendency: 4 out of 5 direct encounters ended in a draw
- Unexpected match outcome: The pipeline analysis shows a 25% probability for a draw
概述
Juventus (4th place, 60 points) hosts Bologna (8th place, 48 points) at Juventus Stadium in a Serie A match on April 19, 2026, 8:45 PM. Juventus is aiming for a Champions League spot, while Bologna is fighting for European qualification. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 54%, a draw with 25%, and an away win with 20%.
近期状态
Juventus shows strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw (WWDWW) in their last 5 matches. Most recently, they achieved a 1-0 away win against Atalanta and a 2-0 home win against Genoa. The team scored 1.8 goals per game and conceded 0.2 goals on average during this period. Bologna, on the other hand, recorded 2 wins and 3 losses (LWLWL) in their last 5 games. Their last match was a 0-4 away loss against Aston Villa, preceded by a 2-0 home win against Lecce. The goal difference in the last match was negative, and the trend is declining. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Juventus averages 1.72 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they score 1.68 goals and concede only 0.68 goals on average. The team kept 13 clean sheets. Bologna averages 1.31 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded per game. Away, their average is 1.3 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded. Bologna recorded 10 clean sheets this season. At this venue, the last 5 games averaged 2.6 total goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 40%.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus has 1 win and there have been 4 draws. Bologna has not won any of these games. Juventus scored a total of 8 goals, while Bologna scored 7 goals. The last encounter on December 14, 2025, ended in a 1-0 victory for Juventus. Juventus has been the dominant team in recent direct clashes.
关键球员
For Juventus, Jérémie Boga, an attacker, shows rising form with 3 goals in 5 games and an average rating of 7.71. Manuel Locatelli in midfield contributed 1 assist in his last 5 games and has a rating of 7.72. Jonathan David, also an attacker, scored 2 goals in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.08. For Bologna, defender Juan Miranda stands out with 2 assists in his last 5 games and an average rating of 7.29. Midfielder Remo Freuler scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances with a rating of 6.92. Attacker Riccardo Orsolini scored 1 goal in his last 5 games and achieved a rating of 6.80.
门将
Juventus goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio has 0 goals and 0 assists in 25 appearances, with an average rating of 6.84. Juventus has kept 13 clean sheets this season. For Bologna, Federico Ravaglia is in goal, with 0 goals and 0 assists in 15 appearances and a rating of 6.83. Bologna has recorded 10 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Juventus benefits from a home advantage, reflected in an average of 1.68 goals scored and only 0.68 goals conceded at home. Juventus Stadium, with its grass surface, is known for games averaging 2.6 goals. Historically, 40% of matches here saw both teams score, and 40% had over 2.5 goals.