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Serie A

Pisa - Genoa

04/19/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Pisa
1.2
Total xG
2.6
Genoa
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

7%

2:1

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
PISGEN

Pisa

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.74
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第14位, 相差6位)
-0.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.06
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
-0.06
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.04
Mehdi Léris替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.1球 vs 总体0.8球)

Genoa

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.47
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第14位 vs 第20位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Ruslan Malinovskyi未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Vitinha替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Junior Messias替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Mikael Egill Ellertsson未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
43%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

30%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 40% win probability for Genoa, while Pisa stands at 30%
  • Genoa shows better current form with 3 wins in their last 5 games, compared to Pisa's 1 win
  • Pisa's low offensive output at home with an average of only 0.7 goals per home game
风险因素
  • Pisa's weak home defense with an average of 1.9 goals conceded per home game
  • Pisa's low average shots on target per game (Ø 2.8 in the last 5 games)
概述

Pisa (20th place, 18 points) host Genoa (14th place, 36 points) at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. This Serie A match takes place on April 19, 2026, 6:00 PM. Pisa are at the bottom of the table, fighting for survival, while Genoa aims to solidify its mid-table position.

近期状态

Pisa has shown a form of LWLLL across all competitions in their last five matches, with a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses. Their last outing ended in a loss, and the team has suffered 3 consecutive losses recently. Genoa, on the other hand, presents a form of WWLLW, consisting of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses. Their last outing resulted in a win. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Pisa averages 0.72 goals scored per game this season and concedes an average of 1.81 goals. At home, the average is 0.7 goals scored and 1.9 goals conceded. Genoa records a season average of 1.19 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Genoa averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded. The Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani sees an average of 2.6 goals per game. In 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, there were over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head encounter between these two teams so far. This match, on January 3, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw, with both teams scoring 1 goal. The historical record therefore shows an even balance of power.

关键球员

For Pisa, Stefano Moreo stands out as top scorer with 6 goals and 1 assist in 31 appearances. Antonio Caracciolo has scored 2 goals this season and recently showed 2 goals in 5 games as well. Matteo Tramoni contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in 26 appearances. Not nominated for Pisa is Mehdi Léris (1G/3A). For Genoa, Lorenzo Colombo is a key player with 6 goals and 1 assist in 32 appearances. Leo Østigård has scored 5 goals and 1 assist in 26 appearances, and Aarón Martín provided 1 goal and 5 assists in 28 games. Not nominated for Genoa are Ruslan Malinovskyi (6G/3A), Vitinha (5G/1A), Junior Messias (3G/1A) and Mikael Egill Ellertsson (1G/1A).

门将

In goal for Pisa is Adrian Semper, who has an average rating of 6.92 across 19 season appearances and has contributed to 5 clean sheets. For Genoa, Justin Bijlow is the nominated goalkeeper, achieving an average rating of 6.86 in 11 games and recording 7 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

The Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani averages 2.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of games. Pisa scored an average of 0.7 goals at home and conceded 1.9 goals per match. Genoa showed an away performance of an average of 1.21 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded. The surface is grass.

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