Serie A
Roma - Atalanta
04/18/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Roma
Atalanta
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
28%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Roma's home strength with a very good defense (Avg. 0.5 goals conceded per home game)
- Atalanta's dominance in head-to-head matches with 4 wins in the last 5 encounters
- The mathematical analysis sees Roma as favorites with a home win probability of 45%
风险因素
- Roma averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Atalanta's goal production is currently stagnating at 1.2 goals per game, while the season average is 1.6 goals
概述
Roma (6th place, 57 points) host Atalanta (7th place, 53 points) at the Stadio Olimpico
This Serie A match takes place on April 18, 2026, 8:45 PM
Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the race for European qualification spots
近期状态
Roma's form in the last 5 matches is LLWLW
This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 losses
Roma won their last match
Atalanta's form in the last 5 matches is DLWWL
This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Atalanta lost their last match
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Roma averages 1.41 goals scored and concedes 0.88 goals per game this season
In home games, Roma is defensively very strong, conceding only 0.5 goals per game
Atalanta averages 1.38 goals scored and concedes 0.88 goals per game
Away from home, Atalanta concedes an average of 1.0 goal
The Stadio Olimpico saw an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 40% of games at the Stadio Olimpico, both teams scored, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta dominated with 4 wins
Roma did not win any of these encounters, with 1 draw
Atalanta scored 8 goals, while Roma managed 3 goals
The last encounter was won by Atalanta on January 3, 2026, with a 1-0 score
关键球员
Donyell Malen of Roma scored 10 goals this season and maintains stable form
Matías Soulé contributed 6 goals and 5 assists, his form is declining
Neil El Aynaoui scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches and shows a rising form
For Atalanta, Nikola Krstović is a key player with 9 goals and 4 assists, his form is declining
Charles De Ketelaere recorded 3 goals and 5 assists, and his form is rising
Giorgio Scalvini scored 3 goals this season and his form is stable
门将
Mile Svilar, Roma's goalkeeper, played in 32 season matches and achieved 14 clean sheets
In home games, Svilar kept 9 clean sheets
Marco Carnesecchi, Atalanta's goalkeeper, played in 32 season matches and recorded 12 clean sheets
In away games, Carnesecchi kept 6 clean sheets
影响因素
Roma shows strong home performance with an average of 1.44 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded
Atalanta scores 1.36 goals and concedes 1.0 goal per away game
The Stadio Olimpico saw an average of 2.8 goals per game on a grass surface in the last 5 matches