Serie A
Genoa - Como
04/26/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
10%1:0
10%1:2
8%xG 分解
Genoa
Como
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
32%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Critical Squad Impact for Genoa: Only 54% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available without Ruslan Malinovskyi (6G/3A), Lorenzo Colombo (7G/1A), and Junior Messias (3G/1A)
- Como's Offensive Strength: Averaging 1.73 goals per game, Como surpasses Genoa's season average and currently shows an improved form with 2.8 goals compared to their season average of 2.1
- Contrasting Form Trends: Genoa shows an upward trend with 3 wins in their last 5 games (WLLWW), while Como recorded 3 losses (WDLLL) during the same period
风险因素
- The mathematical model shows very similar probabilities for all three outcomes, with 35% for an away win, 34% for a home win, and 32% for a draw, indicating a highly unpredictable match
- Como's defensive vulnerability: Despite a strong season record of averaging 0.85 goals conceded per game, Como has recently conceded an average of 2.25 goals per game, a significant increase from their season average of 1.03
概述
Genoa (14th place, 39 points) host Como (6th place, 58 points) at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The Serie A match is scheduled for April 26, 2026, 3:00 PM. Genoa needs points to increase their distance from the relegation zone, while Como is fighting for a European qualification spot.
近期状态
Genoa's form across all competitions is WLLWW, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games. Their last appearance ended in a win. Como shows a form of WDLLL, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. Como has recently suffered 3 consecutive losses. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Genoa averages 1.21 goals scored per game and concedes 1.39 goals. At home, they score 1.24 goals and concede 1.29 goals. Genoa kept 7 clean sheets in total, 4 of which were at home. Como's season average is 1.73 goals scored per game and only 0.85 goals conceded. Away from home, Como scores 1.77 goals and concedes 1.0 goals. Como recorded 15 clean sheets, with 7 of them away. The stadium averages 3.6 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches.
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, there have been 0 wins for Genoa, 1 win for Como, and 2 draws. The goal difference stands at 2:3 in favor of Como. The last encounter on September 15, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw.
关键球员
For Genoa, Leo Østigård is an important player with 5 goals and 1 assist in 27 season appearances, his recent form is declining. Vitinha contributed 5 goals and 1 assist in 31 matches, his form is stable. Jeff Ekhator scored 3 goals in 26 appearances and shows stable form. For Como, Nico Paz shines with 12 goals and 6 assists in 32 games, his form is stable. Anastasios Douvikas contributed 11 goals and 1 assist in 33 appearances, his recent form is declining. Martin Baturina has 6 goals and 3 assists in 24 games and shows stable form.
门将
Genoa's goalkeeper Justin Bijlow made 12 season appearances with an average rating of 6.87. Genoa kept a clean sheet in 7 matches, 4 of which were home games. Jean Butez of Como was in goal for 33 season matches and achieved an average rating of 7.07. Como kept a clean sheet in 15 matches, 7 of which were away games.
影响因素
Home team Genoa averages 1.24 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded in home matches. The Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris averages 3.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches.