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Serie A

Lazio - Udinese

04/27/2026, 06:45 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Lazio
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Udinese
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

11%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
LAZUDI

Lazio

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
Mattia Zaccagni 替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Adam Marusic替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)

Udinese

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.06
Keinan Davis未进大名单 (10球, 3助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

31%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 42% for Lazio
  • Lazio shows a solid defensive performance at home with an average of 0.86 goals conceded per home game
  • Lazio averaged 4.4 shots on target in the last 5 games, compared to Udinese's 3.8
风险因素
  • The mathematical prediction indicates a 31% probability for a draw and 27% for an away win
  • Recent direct encounters show a dominance by Udinese
概述

Lazio (9th place, 47 points) host Udinese (11th place, 43 points) at the Stadio Olimpico. Serie A match on April 27, 2026, 8:45 PM. Important points are at stake for both teams in the midfield of the table.

近期状态

Lazio's form in the last five games is WDLWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), with their last match being a 1-1 draw against Atalanta. Udinese's form is LWDWL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), and they lost their last game 0-1 against Parma. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Lazio averages 1.03 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded per game. At home, they average 1.05 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded. They have 15 clean sheets and 8 games with over 2.5 goals. Udinese averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per game. Away, they average 1.16 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded. They have 9 clean sheets and 16 games with over 2.5 goals. At the Stadio Olimpico, an average of 3.0 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio recorded 1 win, Udinese 2 wins, and there were 2 draws. The goal difference is 6:7 in favor of Udinese. The last encounter on December 27, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. Recent direct matches suggest a slight dominance by Udinese.

关键球员

For Lazio, Kenneth Taylor (2 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games, avg 7.28 rating), Alessio Romagnoli (1 goal in last 5 games, avg 7.27 rating), and Matteo Cancellieri (1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games, avg 6.96 rating) are in good form. Not in the lineup are Mattia Zaccagni (3 goals, 0 assists this season) and Adam Marusic (1 goal, 2 assists this season), who together represent 13% of the usual starting XI's goal threat. For Udinese, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp shows rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games (avg 7.16 rating). Nicolò Zaniolo provided 2 assists in his last 5 appearances (avg 6.73 rating), while defender Oumar Solet achieved an avg 7.47 rating in his last 4 games. Keinan Davis (10 goals, 3 assists this season), who represents 16% of the usual starting XI's goal threat, is not in the lineup.

门将

Lazio goalkeeper Edoardo Motta has played in 5 games (avg 6.97 rating in last 5 games). Lazio has kept 15 clean sheets this season. Udinese goalkeeper Maduka Okoye played in 4 of the last 5 matches (avg 6.71 rating in last 4 games). Udinese achieved 9 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Lazio scores an average of 1.05 goals at home and concedes 0.86 goals per game, indicating a certain home advantage. At the Stadio Olimpico, the average is 3.0 goals per match. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games. The grass pitch at the Stadio Olimpico provides standard playing conditions.

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