🇮🇹

Serie A

Hellas Verona - Lecce

04/25/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Hellas Verona
0.9
Total xG
1.5
Lecce
0.6
最可能的比分

0:0

24%

1:0

18%

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
HVLEC

Hellas Verona

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.68
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.44倍)
-0.58
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
-0.19
Gift Orban未进大名单 (7球, 2助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)

Lecce

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.74
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.45
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
Tiago Gabriel未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体0.8球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

40%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

45%

Under 1.5

55%

Over 2.5

19%

Under 2.5

81%

Over 3.5

6%

Under 3.5

94%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

60%

双方进球

28%

72%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a tight game with a 40% probability for a draw and 38% for a home win
  • Hellas Verona will be without Gift Orban, leaving only 69% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available
  • Both teams are in poor form, with Hellas Verona suffering five consecutive losses and Lecce recording four losses and one draw
风险因素
  • Hellas Verona scores an average of only 0.71 goals per home game
  • Lecce averaged only 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
概述

Hellas Verona (19th place, 18 points) host Lecce (18th place, 28 points) at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. This is a crucial Serie A match in the relegation battle on April 25, 2026, 8:45 PM. Both teams desperately need points to escape the bottom of the table

近期状态

Hellas Verona are on a run of five consecutive losses (LLLLL)

Hellas Verona's last five games ended 0-1 against AC Milan, 1-2 against Torino, 0-1 against Fiorentina, 0-1 against Atalanta, and 0-2 against Genoa

Lecce managed to get one point in their last five games (LLLLD)

Lecce's last five games ended 1-1 against Fiorentina, 0-2 against Bologna, 0-3 against Atalanta, 0-1 against Roma, and 1-2 against Napoli

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Hellas Verona averages 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per game this season

They kept 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 16 games

At home, Hellas Verona averages 0.71 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded

Lecce averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded per game

They kept 8 clean sheets and both teams scored in 12 games

Away from home, Lecce averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded

The last 5 games at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi averaged 1.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in only 1 out of 5 games, and only 1 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In a total of 5 head-to-head matches, Hellas Verona and Lecce each recorded 1 win

3 matches ended in a draw

Both teams scored 4 goals in direct comparison

The last encounter on November 8, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw

Recent head-to-head encounters show an even balance of power

关键球员

For Hellas Verona, Kieron Bowie is an important attacking player with 2 goals in 9 season appearances, his form is stable

Antoine Bernede is a midfielder with 1 goal and 2 assists in 28 season appearances, his form is stable

Roberto Gagliardini contributed 1 season goal in 25 appearances, however, his form is slightly declining

For Lecce, Lameck Banda is a key player with 3 goals and 3 assists in 27 season appearances

Lassana Coulibaly is present in midfield with 3 goals and 1 assist in 28 appearances

Antonino Gallo has provided 4 assists in 32 season appearances, his form shows an upward trend

门将

Hellas Verona's goalkeeper, Lorenzo Montipò, played in 30 season games and kept 5 clean sheets

For Lecce, Wladimiro Falcone has featured in 33 games and recorded 8 clean sheets

影响因素

The Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi has seen an average of 1.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in only 1 out of 5 games, and only 1 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

This suggests a tendency for low-scoring encounters at this venue

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。