Serie A
Bologna - Roma
04/25/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Bologna
Roma
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
28%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a 46% home win probability for Bologna
- Head-to-Head Dominance: Bologna won two of the last five direct encounters against Roma, including the last match with a 4:3 score
- Tactical Strength: Roma averaged 4.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Bologna's 3.8
风险因素
- Bologna's goal production is stagnant (1.0) compared to their season average (1.4), indicating a negative form trend
- Bologna with reduced assist strength (75% of usual contributions), partly due to absences
- Roma are missing 11% of their usual assist contributions due to absences, including Devyne Rensch (0G/4A)
概述
Bologna (8th place, 48 points) host Roma (6th place, 58 points) at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Serie A match on April 25, 2026, 6:00 PM. Roma is battling for a European spot, while Bologna is in the mid-table
近期状态
Bologna's form in the last five matches is WLWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). They have lost their last two consecutive games
Roma's form in the last five matches is LWLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) and they drew their last game
统计数据
Bologna averages 1.23 home goals scored per game and concedes 1.38 home goals per game
Roma averages 1.36 away goals scored per game and also concedes 1.36 goals per away game
Bologna's matches at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara average 2.6 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and 2 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head matches, Bologna recorded two wins, Roma one win, and there were two draws
Bologna scored 10 goals, while Roma scored 9 goals
The last encounter on March 19, 2026, saw Bologna win away with a 4:3 scoreline
关键球员
For Bologna, Santiago Castro (7 goals, 2 assists) and Riccardo Orsolini (8 goals, 1 assist) are important attackers, both currently showing declining form
Defender Juan Miranda contributes consistently with 1 goal and 2 assists, including 2 assists in the last 5 games
For Roma, Donyell Malen stands out with 10 season goals, 3 of which came in the last 5 games
Matías Soulé (6 goals, 5 assists) and Mario Hermoso (2 goals, 1 assist, rising form) are other key players, with Hermoso contributing 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances
门将
Bologna's goalkeeper, Federico Ravaglia, made 16 season appearances and kept 6 clean sheets in home games
For Roma, Mile Svilar was in goal for 33 season appearances and achieved 5 away clean sheets
影响因素
The Stadio Renato Dall'Ara averages 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 matches, and 2 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals