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Serie A

Parma - Pisa

04/25/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Parma
0.9
Total xG
1.8
Pisa
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

18%

1:1

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

13%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
PARPIS

Parma

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.57
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.05
排名优势 (第14位 vs 第20位, 相差6位)
+0.03
全员可用

Pisa

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.28
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第14位, 相差6位)
-0.06
Matteo Tramoni未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

37%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

55%

Under 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

27%

Under 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

63%

双方进球

37%

63%

关键因素
  • Pisa's poor away form: The team has suffered 4 losses in their last 5 matches (WLLLL) and concedes an average of 1.77 goals per away game
  • Low offensive output for both teams: Parma scores only 0.75 goals per home game, while Pisa scores 0.73 goals per away game
  • Tight mathematical prediction: The model forecasts a very close match, with 36% for a draw and 32% for a home win
风险因素
  • Parma scored an average of only 0.75 goals per home game
  • Pisa averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Pisa concedes an average of 1.82 goals per game this season
概述

Parma (14th place, 39 points) hosts Pisa (20th place, 18 points) at Stadio Ennio Tardini

Serie A match on April 25, 2026, 3:00 PM

This fixture is a clash between a mid-table team and the league's bottom side

Pisa is fighting relegation, while Parma aims to secure its position in the league

近期状态

Parma's recent form in their last 5 matches is LLDDW

This translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Their last result was a win

Pisa's recent form in their last 5 matches is WLLLL

This translates to 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses

They are currently on a 4-game losing streak

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Parma averages 0.73 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per game this season

At home, Parma scores an average of 0.75 goals and concedes 1.38 goals per match

Parma has kept 11 clean sheets in total

Pisa also averages 0.73 goals scored, but concedes 1.82 goals per game

In away games, Pisa averages 0.73 goals scored and concedes 1.77 goals per match

Pisa has achieved 5 clean sheets this season

The venue, Stadio Ennio Tardini, has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

Only 1 direct duel has been recorded between these teams

Pisa won the last encounter 1-0 on December 8, 2025

This single match shows a home win for Pisa

关键球员

For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino (attacker) is a key player with 8 goals and 1 assist this season, holding an average rating of 6.85

Gabriel Strefezza (attacker) contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, averaging 7.1

Adrián Bernabé (midfielder) has 3 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.1

For Pisa, Stefano Moreo (attacker) leads with 6 goals and 1 assist, averaging 6.91

Mehdi Léris (attacker) recorded 1 goal and 3 assists with an average rating of 6.76

Antonio Caracciolo (defender) has scored 2 goals with an average rating of 6.72

门将

Zion Suzuki is Parma's starting goalkeeper with a season average rating of 6.92

The team has 11 clean sheets this season

Adrian Semper is Pisa's starting goalkeeper with a season average rating of 6.92

The team has 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Parma's home games show an average of 0.75 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded

Pisa's away games show an average of 0.73 goals scored and 1.77 goals conceded

The Stadio Ennio Tardini has averaged 2.8 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches

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