Serie A
Cagliari - Atalanta
04/27/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.2
1.3
1:1
15%0:1
13%0:0
13%0:2
10%1:2
8%xG 分解
Cagliari
Atalanta
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
23%
平局
32%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
77%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Pipeline analysis: The mathematical prediction favors Atalanta with a 45% probability
- Form advantage: Atalanta shows better form in the last five games with 2 wins and 2 draws compared to Cagliari (1 win, 0 draws)
- Head-to-head history: Atalanta dominated the recent 5 encounters with 3 wins versus only one win for Cagliari
风险因素
- Cagliari averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Both teams show a negative recent form trend according to Advanced Stats
- The Sardegna Arena records an average of only 1.4 goals per game
概述
Cagliari (16th place, 33 points) host Atalanta (7th place, 54 points) at the Sardegna Arena
Serie A match on April 27, 2026, 4:30 PM
Cagliari is fighting for survival, while Atalanta is pushing for a European spot
The mathematical analysis predicts an away win probability of 45%, while a home win is rated at 23% and a draw at 32%
近期状态
Cagliari's form across all competitions is LLLWL
This corresponds to 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses from the last five matches
The last result was a loss
Atalanta's form across all competitions is WWLDD
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from the last five matches
The last result was a draw, and the team has recorded two consecutive draws recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Cagliari averaged 1.0 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.42 goals
In home games, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded per match
Atalanta has averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded per game this season
In away games, Atalanta averages 1.33 goals scored and concedes 1.0 goal per game
The Sardegna Arena records an average of 1.4 goals per game
In 20% of matches (1 out of 5), both teams scored, and in 20% of matches (1 out of 5), over 2.5 goals were scored
历史交锋
In the last 5 direct encounters, there have been a total of 5 matches
Cagliari won 1 time, Atalanta secured 3 victories, and 1 match ended in a draw
Cagliari scored 3 goals, while Atalanta scored 6 goals
The last duel on December 13, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Atalanta
Atalanta has been more dominant in recent head-to-head matches
关键球员
Cagliari relies on Sebastiano Esposito, who contributed 6 goals and 5 assists this season and scored 3 goals in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.42
Gianluca Gaetano was involved in 2 goals and 3 assists, maintaining a stable rating of 6.85 in his last 5 appearances
Adam Obert provided 3 assists this season and kept his rating at 6.79 in his last 5 matches
For Atalanta, Gianluca Scamacca with 8 goals and 1 assist and Charles De Ketelaere with 3 goals and 5 assists are key figures
Charles De Ketelaere provided 2 assists in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.29
Mario Pašalić recorded 3 goals and 5 assists and scored 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.12
门将
Elia Caprile is in goal for Cagliari, having made 33 appearances this season and keeping 7 clean sheets
Marco Carnesecchi is Atalanta's goalkeeper with 33 appearances and 12 clean sheets this season
Elia Caprile shows a declining form trend according to statistics, while Marco Carnesecchi exhibits a stable trend
影响因素
Cagliari scores an average of 1.0 goal at home and concedes 1.06 goals
Atalanta scores an average of 1.33 goals away and concedes 1.0 goal
The Sardegna Arena is known for an average of 1.4 goals per game
Only in 20% of matches at this stadium did both teams score, and only in 20% were there over 2.5 goals