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Serie A

Torino - Inter

04/26/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Torino
1.0
Total xG
2.5
Inter
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:2

10%

1:2

9%

2:1

6%

0:3

5%
xG 分解
TORINT

Torino

状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.28
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.15
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第1位, 相差12位)
-0.13
Marcus Pedersen未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Inter

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.28
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2.3 赛季平均)
+0.28
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第13位, 相差12位)
+0.09
Hakan Çalhanoğlu替补席 (9球, 4助攻)
Pio Esposito替补席 (6球, 4助攻)
Denzel Dumfries替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

29%

客胜

49%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

51%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

71%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Inter is the team with stronger form, having four wins and one draw in their last five matches.
  • The historical head-to-head record clearly favors Inter, who have won all five direct encounters against Torino.
  • The mathematical analysis indicates a 49% win probability for Inter and 1.53 expected away goals.
风险因素
  • Torino's offense shows significant improvement in recent form, averaging 2.3 goals compared to their season average of 1.3 goals.
  • Inter conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their recent form phase, which is above their season average of 0.88.
  • Data availability for duels in the last five games for both teams is limited.
概述

Torino (13th place, 40 points) host league leaders Inter (1st place, 78 points) at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. The Serie A match takes place on April 26, 2026, 6:00 PM. Inter aims to extend their lead at the top, while Torino seeks to improve their league position.

近期状态

Torino's form in their last five matches shows three wins, one draw, and one loss (Form: WLWWD). Their last game was a 0-0 draw against Cremonese. Inter is in a strong phase with four wins and one draw in their last five games (Form: DWWWW). The team recently celebrated a 3-2 victory against Como and is on a streak of four consecutive wins.

统计数据

Torino averages 1.12 goals per game and concedes 1.64 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.11 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded. Inter is significantly stronger offensively, averaging 2.36 goals per game and conceding only 0.88 goals. Away from home, Inter scores 2.38 goals and concedes 1.08 goals per match. The Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino has seen an average of 2.8 total goals in the last five games, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches and 3 out of 5 matches ending with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head encounters, Inter completely dominated with five wins to Torino's zero. The goal difference is 14:3 in favor of Inter. The last meeting on February 4, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Inter.

关键球员

For Torino, Giovanni Simeone stands out with 9 season goals and 3 goals in his last 5 games, showing rising form. Nikola Vlašić has 7 season goals and 3 assists. Emirhan İlhan scored once in his last 5 games and is in strong rising form. Not nominated: Marcus Pedersen (0G/2A).

For Inter, Marcus Thuram shines with 11 season goals, 5 assists, and 5 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games, with strongly rising form. Federico Dimarco is a key playmaker with 6 season goals and 15 assists. Nicolò Barella (3 goals, 8 assists) contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games. Not nominated: Hakan Çalhanoğlu (9G/4A), Pio Esposito (6G/4A), Denzel Dumfries (3G/1A).

门将

Torino relies on Alberto Paleari, who recorded 5 home clean sheets this season. For Inter, Yann Sommer is in goal, having achieved 9 away clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Torino's home advantage is supported by their performance at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, where the last five matches averaged 2.8 goals, both teams scored in 60% of cases, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of matches. Torino scored an average of 1.11 goals at home and conceded 1.26, while Inter scored 2.38 goals away and conceded 1.08.

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