Serie A
Napoli - Cremonese
04/24/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.2
0.7
1:0
15%1:1
13%0:0
13%2:0
12%2:1
9%xG 分解
Napoli
Cremonese
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
30%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Napoli with a probability of 53%
- Cremonese is missing a key player, resulting in only 41% of their usual assist threat being available without Jari Vandeputte
- Napoli shows a stronger season performance (3rd place) and better form (3 wins in the last 5 games) compared to Cremonese (17th place)
风险因素
- Napoli's goal production has recently stalled (1.0 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.5 goals)
- Cremonese averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Napoli suffered a 0-2 defeat in their last home game
概述
Napoli (3rd place, 66 points) host Cremonese (17th place, 28 points) at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A match on April 24, 2026, 8:45 PM
Napoli aims for an improved position in the top third of the table
Cremonese is fighting against relegation from the league
近期状态
Napoli shows a form of WWWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last five matches, they recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their last match was a 0-2 loss against Lazio
Cremonese has a form of LWLLD
They achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Their last game ended in a 0-0 draw against Torino
统计数据
Napoli scored an average of 1.45 goals per game this season and conceded 1.0 goals
At home, they scored 1.44 times and conceded 0.83 goals per game
Napoli kept 11 clean sheets
Cremonese scored an average of 0.79 goals and conceded 1.42 goals per game
Away, they scored 0.76 goals and conceded 1.41 goals per game
Cremonese had 9 clean sheets
At the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored
In 3 of 5 games, both teams scored, and 3 of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between Napoli and Cremonese so far
Napoli won this game 2-0 on December 28, 2025
The goal difference is 2-0 in favor of Napoli
Napoli dominated the last encounter
关键球员
For Napoli, the following players are notable: Rasmus Højlund, who contributed 10 goals and 3 assists in 28 season appearances and shows stable form
Scott McTominay scored 8 goals and 3 assists in 28 games and also shows stable form
Matteo Politano showed rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, with a total of 2 goals and 5 assists in 30 season appearances
For Cremonese, these players are important: Federico Bonazzoli with 7 goals and 2 assists in 30 games and stable form
Youssef Maleh, who scored 1 goal in 9 games and shows stable form
David Okereke with 1 goal in 7 games and also stable form
Not nominated for Napoli are Leonardo Spinazzola (3G/3A), Frank Anguissa (4G/1A) and Sam Beukema (2G/0A)
Not nominated for Cremonese is Jari Vandeputte (1G/4A)
门将
Napoli's goalkeeper Vanja Milinković-Savić played in 24 games
The team recorded 11 clean sheets this season
Cremonese's goalkeeper Emil Audero made 29 appearances
Cremonese achieved 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Napoli scores an average of 1.44 goals at home and concedes 0.83 goals, indicating a certain home advantage
At the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored
In 60% of games, both teams scored and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals
No weather data is available