Serie A
Bologna - Cagliari
05/03/2026, 10:30 AM
预期进球
1.6
2.3
0.7
1:0
14%1:1
13%2:0
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Bologna
Cagliari
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
28%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
45%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Bologna's form crisis: The team lost 4 of their last 5 matches and recently averaged only 0.6 goals scored
- Cagliari's away weakness: The away team conceded an average of 1.81 goals per away game this season
- Head-to-head record: Bologna won 4 of 5 direct encounters, with the mathematical model predicting a home win with 56%
风险因素
- Low shot-on-target efficiency for Bologna: In the last 5 games, Bologna averaged only 2.8 shots on target
- Cagliari's lack of goal threat: The away team showed an average of only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Bologna's currently weak goal production: Goal production is stagnant (Avg. 0.6 goals/game), while the season average is Avg. 1.4 goals/game
概述
Bologna (9th place, 48 points) host Cagliari (16th place, 36 points) at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.
Serie A match on May 3, 2026, 12:30 PM.
Bologna aim to improve their league standing, while Cagliari fight against relegation.
近期状态
Bologna's form across all competitions: LWLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)
Loss 0:2 against Roma (at home)
Loss 0:2 against Juventus (away)
Loss 0:4 against Aston Villa (away)
Win 2:0 against Lecce (at home)
Loss 1:3 against Aston Villa (at home)
Cagliari's form across all competitions: LLWLW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)
Win 3:2 against Atalanta (at home)
Loss 0:3 against Inter (away)
Win 1:0 against Cremonese (at home)
Loss 1:2 against Sassuolo (away)
Loss 0:1 against Napoli (at home)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Bologna averaged 1.24 goals scored per game and 1.21 goals conceded
Cagliari averaged 1.00 goals scored per game and 1.42 goals conceded
At home, Bologna averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded
They kept 6 clean sheets at home
Away, Cagliari averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.81 goals conceded
They kept 1 clean sheets away from home
At Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, an average of 2.4 goals were scored per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches
Bologna won 4, Cagliari won 1, with 0 draws
The goal difference is 9:4 in favor of Bologna
The last head-to-head match on October 19, 2025 ended 2:0 for Bologna
关键球员
Key players for Bologna:
Federico Bernardeschi (Attacker) with 2 goals, 2 assists and Avg. 6.86 rating
Jens Odgaard (Midfielder) with 5 goals, 1 assist and Avg. 6.74 rating
Juan Miranda (Defender) with 1 goal, 2 assists and Avg. 7.09 rating
Key players for Cagliari:
Sebastiano Esposito (Attacker) with 6 goals, 5 assists and Avg. 7.18 rating
Marco Palestra (Midfielder) with 1 goal, 4 assists and Avg. 6.95 rating
Gianluca Gaetano (Midfielder) with 2 goals, 3 assists and Avg. 6.82 rating
门将
Bologna recorded 10 clean sheets this season
Massimo Pessina made 2 appearances this season
Cagliari recorded 7 clean sheets this season
Elia Caprile made 33 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.91
影响因素
Bologna's home advantage is relevant, with an average of 1.23 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded at home
At Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, the average is 2.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 games
The grass pitch at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara is the usual playing surface