Serie A
Roma - Fiorentina
05/04/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
6%1:2
5%xG 分解
Roma
Fiorentina
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
28%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Pipeline analysis: A 53% home win probability and 1.63 predicted home goals favor Roma
- Roma's home strength: The defense is particularly stable, conceding only 0.53 goals per home game on average
- Fiorentina's away weakness: The visitors concede an average of 1.56 goals per away game
概述
Roma (6th place, 61 points) host Fiorentina (16th place, 37 points) at the Stadio Olimpico
Serie A match on May 4, 2026, 8:45 PM
Roma aims to solidify their position in the European qualification spots, while Fiorentina seeks to distance themselves further from the relegation zone
近期状态
Roma is in good form with W-L-W-D-W (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) in their last 5 matches
Their last victory was a 2-0 away win against Bologna
Fiorentina records L-W-W-D-D (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) from their last 5 matches
They recently had two consecutive draws, including a 0-0 against Sassuolo
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Roma averages 1.41 goals scored per game and concedes 0.85 goals
At home, Roma is particularly strong, scoring an average of 1.42 goals and conceding only 0.53 goals
Fiorentina averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Fiorentina concedes an average of 1.56 goals
The Stadio Olimpico sees an average of 2.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma secured 2 wins, Fiorentina 1 win, and there were 2 draws
Roma scored 7 goals, while Fiorentina scored 9 goals
The last encounter on October 5, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Roma
关键球员
For Roma, Donyell Malen is a key attacker with 11 goals and 1 assist this season, showing stable form in the last 5 games with 4 goals and 1 assist
Matías Soulé contributed 6 goals and 5 assists this season
Defender Mario Hermoso scored 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games and is in stable form
For Fiorentina, Albert Gudmundsson is important with 5 goals and 4 assists this season
Jack Harrison recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, showing stable form
Robin Gosens scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
Lineup check: 100% of Roma's usual starting XI strength is available
Not nominated for Roma: Lorenzo Pellegrini (4G/2A), Devyne Rensch (0G/4A), Neil El Aynaoui (1G/2A)
Lineup check: 89% of Fiorentina's usual starting XI strength is available
Not nominated for Fiorentina: Rolando Mandragora (6G/3A), Roberto Piccoli (3G/1A)
门将
Roma's goalkeeper Mile Svilar kept 15 clean sheets this season
Fiorentina's goalkeeper David de Gea recorded 8 clean sheets
影响因素
The Stadio Olimpico is known for an average of 2.8 goals per game
Roma benefits from a home advantage, conceding only 0.53 goals in their own stadium
Fiorentina shows a more vulnerable defense away from home, with an average of 1.56 goals conceded per game
The match will be played on a grass surface