Serie A
Sassuolo - AC Milan
05/03/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.4
1.6
0:1
13%1:1
13%0:2
12%0:0
11%1:2
9%xG 分解
Sassuolo
AC Milan
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
17%
平局
28%
客胜
55%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
45%
客胜或平局
83%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of only 17% for Sassuolo and an away win probability of 55% for AC Milan
- AC Milan demonstrates a strong away defense, conceding an average of 0.61 goals per game
- AC Milan dominated recent head-to-head matches with 2 wins and 2 draws in 4 encounters
风险因素
- AC Milan's goal production has recently stalled (1.0 goals), with a season average of 1.5
- Sassuolo is currently scoring more frequently (1.5 goals) than their season average (1.2 goals)
- Both teams averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Sassuolo (11th place, 46 points) host AC Milan (3rd place, 67 points) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Serie A match on May 3, 2026, 3:00 PM
AC Milan are favorites for this encounter and aim to solidify their position in the top half of the table
近期状态
Sassuolo's form in their last five matches across all competitions is DWLWD
This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Their last match ended in a draw
AC Milan's form in their last five matches is DLLWD
This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
AC Milan also drew their last game
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Sassuolo averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they average 1.24 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded
AC Milan averages 1.41 goals scored and 0.79 goals conceded per match
Away from home, their average is 1.44 goals scored and only 0.61 goals conceded
Sassuolo achieved 7 clean sheets this season, while AC Milan recorded 15 clean sheets
The MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore averages 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and 4 of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In four head-to-head matches, Sassuolo have zero wins, AC Milan won two games, and two matches ended in a draw
AC Milan scored a total of 12 goals, while Sassuolo scored 6
The last encounter on December 14, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw
关键球员
For Sassuolo, Domenico Berardi (7 goals, 4 assists) and Ismaël Koné (6 goals, 0 assists) are important attacking forces
Armand Laurienté contributed 5 goals and 8 assists
For AC Milan, Rafael Leão (9 goals, 3 assists) and Adrien Rabiot (6 goals, 4 assists) are crucial players
Christopher Nkunku is another important attacking option with 5 goals and 3 assists
门将
Sassuolo is expected to start with Stefano Turati in goal, who recorded 3 clean sheets this season
AC Milan will have Mike Maignan in goal, who has an impressive 15 clean sheets
影响因素
Sassuolo's home statistics show an average of 1.24 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded
AC Milan, however, is strong away from home, conceding only 0.61 goals per game
The MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore averages 2.6 goals per game