Serie A
Pisa - Lecce
05/01/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.0
1.9
0.8
0:0
17%1:1
15%1:0
14%0:1
11%2:0
8%xG 分解
Pisa
Lecce
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
35%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
58%
Under 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
65%
双方进球
是
38%
否
62%
关键因素
- Relegation battle: Both teams are at the bottom of the table, emphasizing the importance of the match
- Home advantage according to Pipeline: The mathematical analysis gives Pisa a 37% chance for a win or 35% for a draw, equating to a 73% chance of not losing at home
- Offensive weakness: Pisa's recent goal production was only 0.2 goals, while Lecce averaged 0.25 goals, significantly below their season averages of 0.77
风险因素
- Pisa squad weakening: Matteo Tramoni (2 goals, 2 assists) is doubtful, accounting for 18% of missing goals and reducing active goal threat to 86%
- Lecce offensive paucity: Lecce registered an average of only 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Pisa defensive vulnerability: Pisa conceded an average of 1.91 goals per home game
概述
Pisa (20th place, 18 points) host Lecce (17th place, 29 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on May 1, 2026, 8:45 PM at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Both teams are fighting at the bottom of the table against relegation
近期状态
Pisa shows alarming form with five consecutive losses (LLLLL)
In these five games, Pisa scored only 1 goal and conceded 12 goals
Lecce achieved two draws in their last five matches but also lost three games (LLLDD)
The last two matches ended in a draw
统计数据
Pisa scored an average of 0.71 goals and conceded 1.79 goals per game this season
At home, the average is 0.73 goals scored and 1.91 goals conceded
Lecce scored an average of 0.65 times and conceded 1.35 goals this season
Away, the average is 0.67 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded
At Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, an average of 2.4 goals per game were scored
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games (60% BTTS), and there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games (60% Over 2.5)
历史交锋
There has only been one direct encounter between these teams in the league so far
Lecce won the last meeting away on December 12, 2025, with a score of 1:0
Analysis of the sole direct match shows dominance from the current away team
关键球员
For Pisa, Adrian Semper (Avg 6.94 Rating), Stefano Moreo (6 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.94 Rating) and Michel Aebischer (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg 6.85 Rating) could be crucial
Moreo's form trend is declining, Aebischer is stable
Lecce relies on Tiago Gabriel (2 goals, Avg 6.9 Rating), Lassana Coulibaly (3 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.83 Rating) and Ylber Ramadani (1 goal, Avg 6.82 Rating)
Ramadani's form trend is rising
门将
Adrian Semper, Pisa's goalkeeper, achieved 5 clean sheets in 21 season appearances
Wladimiro Falcone, Lecce's goalkeeper, recorded 9 clean sheets in 34 appearances
影响因素
Pisa's home strength shows an average of 0.73 goals scored and 1.91 goals conceded per game
Lecce scores an average of 0.67 goals away and concedes 1.53 goals
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani sees an average of 2.4 goals per game, with a BTTS rate of 60% and an Over 2.5 rate of 60%