Serie A
Juventus - Hellas Verona
05/03/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
2.2
3.1
0.9
2:0
11%1:1
10%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
7%xG 分解
Juventus
Hellas Verona
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
67%
平局
21%
客胜
12%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
88%
客胜或平局
33%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Favorites Role: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Juventus with 67% probability
- Juventus Home Strength: Juventus has a strong home offense with an average of 1.70 goals and a stable defense with only 0.65 goals conceded
- Hellas Verona Away Weakness: Hellas Verona concedes an average of 1.94 goals away and scores only 0.69 goals
风险因素
- Juventus' goal production has recently stalled with 1.5 goals/game compared to the season average of 1.9 goals/game
- Hellas Verona concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game
概述
Juventus (4th place, 64 points) host Hellas Verona (19th place, 19 points) at the Juventus Stadium
Serie A match on May 3, 2026, 6:00 PM
The mathematical analysis sees Juventus as clear favorites with a 67% home win probability
Expected goals are 2.22 for Juventus and 0.86 for Hellas Verona
Juventus is fighting for Champions League spots, while Hellas Verona is battling relegation
近期状态
Juventus shows strong form with WDWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) from their last 5 matches
Hellas Verona is in a difficult phase with LLLLD (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses) from their last 5 games
Juventus recently drew 0-0 away against AC Milan
Hellas Verona last achieved a 0-0 draw at home against Lecce
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Juventus averages 1.68 goals scored per game and concedes 0.85 goals per game this season
At home, Juventus averages 1.70 goals scored and concedes 0.65 goals, with 8 clean sheets
Hellas Verona averages 0.68 goals scored per game and concedes 1.65 goals per game this season
Away from home, Hellas Verona averages 0.69 goals scored and concedes 1.94 goals, with 3 clean sheets
Juventus's goal production has recently stalled (1.5 goals/game), while the season average is 1.9 goals/game
Hellas Verona's goal production has also stalled (0.3 goals/game), the season average is 0.8 goals/game
At the Juventus Stadium, the last 5 games averaged 2.0 goals per match
Both teams scored in 1 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus recorded 3 wins and 2 draws
Hellas Verona has not won any of the last 5 games against Juventus
Juventus scored a total of 9 goals and conceded 3 goals in these encounters
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on September 20, 2025
关键球员
Kenan Yıldız (Attacker) scored 10 goals and 6 assists this season with an average rating of 7.45
Jonathan David (Attacker) contributed 6 goals and 4 assists to the offense with an average rating of 6.75
Weston McKennie (Midfielder) scored 5 goals and 5 assists with an average rating of 7.02
Kieron Bowie (Attacker) scored 2 goals this season with an average rating of 6.84 and shows a stable form
Martin Frese (Defender) scored 2 season goals with an average rating of 6.87
Rafik Belghali (Defender) contributed 2 season goals with an average rating of 6.7
门将
Michele Di Gregorio of Juventus has an average rating of 6.83 this season and 8 clean sheets in home games
Lorenzo Montipò of Hellas Verona has an average rating of 6.59 and 3 clean sheets in away games
Di Gregorio shows a rising form trend in the last 5 games with a delta rating of 0.27
影响因素
Juventus enjoys a home advantage with an average of 1.70 home goals scored and only 0.65 home goals conceded
Juventus Stadium has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 1 of 5 games at Juventus Stadium, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 games