Serie A
Inter - Parma
05/03/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
2.0
2.6
0.6
2:0
15%1:1
10%3:0
10%2:1
9%3:1
6%xG 分解
Inter
Parma
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
68%
平局
22%
客胜
9%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
91%
客胜或平局
32%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- Inter has a high win probability of 68% according to mathematical analysis
- Inter's offense is in top form, currently scoring more often (3.4 goals) than their season average (2.3 goals)
- Inter has proven to be a dominant home team in head-to-head matches, with 2 wins in 3 encounters
风险因素
- Parma averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Parma's goal production is faltering (0.8 goals on average recently), with a season average of 1.0 goals
- Parma is without B. Cremaschi and M. Frigan due to Unknown Injuries
概述
Inter (1st place, 79 points) host Parma (12th place, 42 points) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The Serie A match takes place on May 3, 2026, 8:45 PM. Inter lead the league, while Parma is in the mid-table.
近期状态
Inter shows strong form with WWWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five matches
The team achieved 4 wins and 1 draw
Parma has a form of LDDWW
Parma recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Inter ended their last match with a draw, Parma with a win and two consecutive wins.
统计数据
Inter scored an average of 2.35 goals per game this season and conceded 0.91 goals
Parma averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded per game
Inter kept 16 clean sheets, while Parma had 12
At home, Inter scored an average of 2.35 goals and conceded 0.75 goals
Away, Parma scored 0.75 goals and conceded 1.12 goals
The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza venue saw an average of 3.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 2 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 4 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored.
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches between Inter and Parma, Inter won 2 times, Parma won 0 times, and there was 1 draw
Inter scored 7 goals and Parma scored 3 goals in these encounters
Inter won the last match on January 7, 2026, with a 2-0 score
Inter has dominated recent matchups.
关键球员
Federico Dimarco of Inter proved to be a key player with 6 goals and 17 assists in 32 season appearances
Marcus Thuram contributed 12 goals and 5 assists in 27 appearances
Nicolò Barella scored 3 goals and provided 8 assists in 31 games
For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino is important with 8 goals and 1 assist in 33 season appearances
Adrián Bernabé recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in 31 matches
Gabriel Strefezza scored 1 goal and 2 assists in 11 appearances.
门将
Inter will likely start with goalkeeper Yann Sommer, who kept 16 clean sheets this season
Parma relies on Zion Suzuki, who achieved 12 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Inter's home strength is evident with an average of 2.35 goals scored and only 0.75 goals conceded per home game
The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza is a high-scoring venue with an average of 3.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the last 5 games at the stadium.