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Serie A

Cremonese - Lazio

05/04/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Cremonese
1.2
Total xG
2.7
Lazio
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
CRELAZ

Cremonese

排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
-0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.10
Jari Vandeputte替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.1球 vs 总体0.9球)

Lazio

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.49
排名优势 (第10位 vs 第18位, 相差8位)
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
Matteo Cancellieri未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
Tijjani Noslin替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

29%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Lazio with a probability of 44%
  • Lazio is in 10th place in the league, while Cremonese is in the 18th relegation spot
  • Cremonese shows a weak form curve with 1 win and 3 losses in the last 5 games
风险因素
  • Cremonese scored an average of only 0.76 goals per game at home
  • Cremonese recorded an average of 3.4 shots on target in the last 5 games
概述

Cremonese (18th place, 28 points) host Lazio (10th place, 48 points) at the Stadio Giovanni Zini. The Serie A match takes place on May 4, 2026, 6:30 PM. Cremonese are fighting against relegation, while Lazio is aiming for a spot in the top half of the table

近期状态

Cremonese's form in the last 5 games is WLLDL, which corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Cremonese's goal production is stagnant, averaging 0.8 goals recently compared to a season average of 0.9 goals, indicating a negative form trend. Lazio's form in the last 5 games is DLWDD, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Lazio is currently scoring more frequently, with an average of 1.4 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.3 goals, suggesting a positive form trend. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Cremonese scored an average of 0.76 goals per game this season and conceded 1.5 goals. At home, they scored 0.76 goals and conceded 1.35 goals. Lazio recorded 1.03 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded per game throughout the season. Away from home, Lazio averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded. Cremonese had both teams score (BTTS) in 14 games and over 2.5 goals in 14 games. Lazio had both teams score in 8 games and over 2.5 goals in 8 games. At the Stadio Giovanni Zini, an average of 2.0 goals per game were scored. In 2 of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Cremonese and Lazio. This match took place on December 20, 2025, and ended in a 0:0 draw. The historical record is even

关键球员

For Cremonese, Federico Bonazzoli is an important attacker with 7 goals, 2 assists, and an average rating of 6.97. Filippo Terracciano, a defender, scored 2 goals and has a rating of 6.84. Youssef Maleh (1 goal, 0 assists) shows stable form in the last 5 games. For Lazio, Kenneth Taylor stands out with 3 goals, 2 assists, and a rating of 6.97. Toma Bašić (2 goals, 2 assists, rating 7.03) scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games. Mattia Zaccagni (3 goals, 0 assists, rating 6.99) provided 1 assist in the last 5 games

门将

Emil Audero of Cremonese played in 30 season games and achieved an average rating of 7.03. His team kept 5 clean sheets at home. Edoardo Motta of Lazio played in 6 season games and has an average rating of 6.9. Lazio kept a clean sheet in 9 away games

影响因素

Cremonese averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded at home. Lazio scored 1.0 goal and conceded 1.0 goal on average away from home. The Stadio Giovanni Zini recorded an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of the matches

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