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Serie A

Lecce - Juventus

05/09/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Lecce
1.0
Total xG
2.6
Juventus
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

2:1

6%

0:3

5%
xG 分解
LECJUV

Lecce

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.27
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第4位, 相差13位)
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.06
M. Berisha未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)

Juventus

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.19
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第17位, 相差13位)
+0.10
Jonathan David替补席 (6球, 4助攻)
Khéphren Thuram替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Jérémie Boga替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

28%

客胜

50%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

50%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

72%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis favors Juventus with a win probability of 50%
  • Juventus impresses this season with an average of 1.66 goals scored per game and 0.86 goals conceded
  • Juventus is unbeaten in 5 matches, showing 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
  • Lecce records low offensive efficiency with an average of 0.69 goals per game and 18 matches failing to score
风险因素
  • Lecce averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Lecce scores only 0.67 goals per home game on average
  • Juventus's recent goal production is 1.5, compared to their season average of 1.8 goals
概述

Lecce (17th place, 32 points) host Juventus (4th place, 65 points) at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Serie A match on May 9, 2026, 8:45 PM

Lecce is fighting against relegation, while Juventus aims to secure a Champions League spot

近期状态

Lecce's form in the last 5 matches is LLDDW

This translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The last result was a win

Juventus shows a form of WWWDD in their last 5 games

This means 3 wins and 2 draws

The last game ended in a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Lecce averages 0.69 goals scored per game and concedes 1.34 goals

At home, they score 0.67 goals and concede 1.28 goals per match

Juventus is stronger offensively, averaging 1.66 goals per game, with a solid defense conceding 0.86 goals

Away from home, Juventus scores 1.64 goals and concedes 1.14 goals per game

Lecce kept 9 clean sheets, while Juventus managed 15 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 13 of Lecce's games and 16 of Juventus's games

The Stadio Comunale Via del Mare venue averages 2.6 goals per game

In 3 out of 5 matches at this stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce has 0 wins, Juventus has 3 wins, and there were 2 draws

Lecce scored a total of 3 goals, while Juventus scored 8 goals

The last encounter on January 3, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

Juventus has been the dominant team in recent meetings

关键球员

For Lecce, Lameck Banda (4 goals, 3 assists, 6.67 average rating) and Lassana Coulibaly (3 goals, 1 assist, 6.83 average rating) are important attacking forces

Tiago Gabriel (2 goals, 0 assists, 6.90 average rating) is also a key player who scored one goal in the last 5 matches

For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız (10 goals, 6 assists, 7.44 average rating) and Weston McKennie (5 goals, 5 assists, 7.03 average rating) stand out

Manuel Locatelli is an important midfielder with an average rating of 7.40 (1 goal, 2 assists)

M. Berisha (2 goals, 3 assists) is not nominated for Lecce

For Juventus, Jonathan David (6 goals, 4 assists), Khéphren Thuram (3 goals, 2 assists), and Jérémie Boga (4 goals, 1 assist) are not in the squad

门将

Lecce goalkeeper Wladimiro Falcone achieved 9 clean sheets this season

Juventus goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio recorded 15 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will take place at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare on grass

Venue statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per game

60% of matches ended with both teams scoring, and 60% with over 2.5 goals

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