Fiorentina (16th place, 37 points) hosts Genoa (14th place, 40 points) at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. This Serie A match takes place on May 10, 2026, 3:00 PM. Fiorentina is battling to avoid relegation, while Genoa aims to solidify its mid-table position. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Fiorentina with a 49% probability.

Fiorentina has shown a form of WWDDL in their last five matches across all competitions

This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Their last match resulted in a 0-4 loss against Roma

According to Advanced Stats, their current form trend is negative, with goal production stagnating at 1.0 compared to a season average of 1.4

Genoa's form in their last five matches is LWWLD

This consists of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Their last match ended in a 0-0 draw against Atalanta

Genoa also has a negative current form trend, with goal production stagnating at 1.0 compared to a season average of 1.4

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Fiorentina averages 1.09 goals scored per game and 1.4 goals conceded per game this season

At home, the average is 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded

They have kept 8 clean sheets, both teams scored in 21 matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 19 matches

Genoa averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.37 goals conceded per game this season

Away from home, Genoa averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded

They have kept 8 clean sheets, both teams scored in 19 matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 19 matches

The Stadio Artemio Franchi has seen an average of 1.8 total goals in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 matches (60%), and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches (40%)

In the 5 direct encounters, Fiorentina secured 3 wins and there were 2 draws

Genoa has not managed to win any direct head-to-head matches

Fiorentina scored 10 goals while Genoa scored 5 goals in these matches

The last meeting on November 9, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw

Historically, Fiorentina has been more dominant in these fixtures

Key players for Fiorentina include Rolando Mandragora, Nicolò Fagioli, and Robin Gosens

Rolando Mandragora (Midfielder) has 6 goals and 3 assists in 31 season appearances with an average rating of 7.08

Nicolò Fagioli (Midfielder) contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in 31 season appearances with an average rating of 7.22

Robin Gosens (Defender) scored 3 goals and 1 assist in 23 season appearances with an average rating of 6.83

Not listed in the lineup are Albert Gudmundsson (5G/4A), Jack Harrison (1G/3A), and Roberto Piccoli (3G/1A), which accounts for 81% of the usual starting XI's goal threat

For Genoa, Lorenzo Colombo, Leo Østigård, and Vitinha are important players

Lorenzo Colombo (Attacker) scored 7 goals and 1 assist in 35 season appearances with an average rating of 6.70

Leo Østigård (Defender) netted 5 goals and provided 1 assist in 29 season appearances, with an average rating of 7.12

Vitinha (Attacker) recorded 5 goals and 1 assist in 33 season appearances with an average rating of 6.77

Fiorentina will start with David de Gea in goal

He has kept 8 clean sheets this season

For Genoa, Justin Bijlow will be in goal

He has also recorded 8 clean sheets this season

Home team Fiorentina scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 1.11 goals in home games

Genoa scores an average of 1.12 goals and concedes 1.41 goals in away games

The Stadio Artemio Franchi recorded an average of 1.8 total goals in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 40%

The playing surface at Stadio Artemio Franchi is grass