Serie A
Napoli - Bologna
05/11/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Napoli
Bologna
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
30%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Napoli sits in 2nd place in the table with 70 points and a strong home performance of 1.50 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded per game
- Bologna shows poor current form with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last five games, with recent goal production dropping to 0.5 goals per game compared to 1.4 goals season average
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Napoli with a probability of 45%
风险因素
- Bologna averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last five games
- Bologna was the more dominant team in recent direct matchups, as shown by their 2:0 win in the last encounter
- Napoli is missing three key players from the lineup
概述
Napoli (2nd place, 70 points) host Bologna (10th place, 49 points) at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The Serie A match takes place on May 11, 2026, 8:45 PM. Napoli aims to maintain its strong league position
近期状态
Napoli's form in the last five matches is WDLWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Napoli recently drew 0-0 away against Como. Bologna's form is WLLLD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) and they most recently drew 0-0 at home against Cagliari
统计数据
Napoli scores an average of 1.49 goals per game and concedes 0.94 goals. At home, they average 1.50 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded. Bologna averages 1.20 goals scored per game and concedes 1.17 goals. Away, Bologna scores 1.18 goals and concedes 0.95 goals per game. At the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, an average of 2.6 goals per game have been scored recently. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, there was 1 win for Napoli, 2 wins for Bologna, and 2 draws. The goal difference is 4:5 in favor of Bologna. The last meeting on November 9, 2025, was won by Bologna with a score of 2:0. Bologna has been the more dominant team in recent direct matchups
关键球员
For Napoli, Rasmus Højland (10 goals, 3 assists season-to-date, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) stands out. Scott McTominay (9 goals, 3 assists season-to-date, 2 goals in last 5 games) and Matteo Politano (2 goals, 5 assists season-to-date, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) are also key attacking players. For Bologna, Riccardo Orsolini (8 goals, 1 assist season-to-date, 1 goal in last 5 games), Santiago Castro (7 goals, 2 assists season-to-date), and Juan Miranda (1 goal, 2 assists season-to-date) are notable
门将
Napoli has Vanja Milinković-Savić in goal, who played in 26 season games. The Napoli team kept 13 clean sheets. For Bologna, Massimo Pessina has appeared in 3 season games. Bologna recorded 11 clean sheets across the season
影响因素
Napoli enjoys a home advantage, as the team scores an average of 1.50 goals and concedes only 0.75 goals at home. The Stadio Diego Armando Maradona has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game in recent matches. Both teams scored in 40% of the games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the games