Serie A
Lazio - Inter
05/09/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
5%xG 分解
Lazio
Inter
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
30%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an Inter win with 39% probability
- Inter's impressive season performance as league leader with 82 points is a decisive advantage
- Inter's away strength with an average of 2.36 goals scored is remarkable
- Inter has dominated recent head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws from 5 games
风险因素
- Lazio shows a positive form trend and is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
- The Stadio Olimpico recorded an average of 3.4 total goals in the last 5 matches, which could indicate a more open game
概述
Lazio (8th place, 51 points) host Inter (1st place, 82 points) at the Stadio Olimpico
Serie A match on May 9, 2026, 6:00 PM
Inter enters this clash as the clear league leader
近期状态
Lazio's form in their last five matches is "LWDDW"
This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Lazio won their last game away against Cremonese with a 2-1 score
Inter displays a strong form of "WWWDW"
This corresponds to 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five fixtures
Inter recently won 2-0 at home against Parma
统计数据
Lazio scores an average of 1.11 goals per game and concedes 0.97 goals per game this season
At home, Lazio's average is 1.14 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded
Inter is very strong offensively with an average of 2.34 goals per match and 0.89 goals conceded
Away from home, Inter scores an average of 2.36 goals and concedes 1.14 goals
The Stadio Olimpico recorded an average of 3.4 total goals in the last 5 matches
In 3 out of 5 games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Inter secured 3 wins and there were 2 draws
Lazio has not managed to win any of these matchups
The goal difference of 13:3 clearly favors Inter
The last encounter on November 9, 2025, saw Inter win 2-0 at home
关键球员
For Lazio, Tijjani Noslin is an important attacker with 4 season goals and 1 assist, his form is rising
Matteo Cancellieri has 4 goals and 2 assists this season, his form is stable
Toma Bašić contributed 2 goals and 3 assists, his form is stable
Not nominated are Kenneth Taylor (3G/2A) and Mattia Zaccagni (3G/0A)
Inter relies on Lautaro Martínez, who scored 16 goals and provided 5 assists, and whose form is rising
Marcus Thuram is also a key player with 13 season goals and 5 assists, showing rising form
Nicolò Barella is an important pillar in midfield with 3 goals and 8 assists
Not nominated are Federico Dimarco (6G/17A), Hakan Çalhanoğlu (9G/4A), Pio Esposito (6G/4A), Piotr Zieliński (6G/3A), Denzel Dumfries (3G/1A), and Manuel Akanji (2G/1A)
门将
Lazio goalkeeper Edoardo Motta played 8 times this season
Inter goalkeeper Josep Martínez appeared 3 times
Lazio kept 15 clean sheets this season
Inter recorded 17 clean sheets in the current season
影响因素
Lazio scored an average of 1.14 goals and conceded 0.95 goals at home
This suggests a moderate home advantage in defense
Inter scores an average of 2.36 goals and concedes 1.14 goals away from home
The Stadio Olimpico saw an average of 3.4 goals in the last 5 matches
In 3 out of 5 games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals