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Serie A

Hellas Verona - Como

05/10/2026, 10:30 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
Hellas Verona
0.6
Total xG
1.5
Como
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

23%

0:1

19%

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
HVCOM

Hellas Verona

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.45倍)
-0.85
防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.65
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第6位, 相差13位)
-0.09
16%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)

Como

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第19位, 相差13位)
+0.06
Martin Baturina替补席 (6球, 3助攻)
Jacobo Ramón未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2.1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

39%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

47%

Under 1.5

53%

Over 2.5

20%

Under 2.5

80%

Over 3.5

7%

Under 3.5

93%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

61%

双方进球

29%

71%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Como with 41%, while a home win for Hellas Verona is at 21%
  • Como (6th place) are fighting for European spots and face relegation-threatened Hellas Verona (19th place), reflecting a significant quality difference in season performance
  • Como has recently dominated head-to-head matches, with two wins and one draw in the last three encounters and a goal difference of 7:4
风险因素
  • Hellas Verona shows low offensive output at home, with an average of only 0.67 goals scored per game
  • Como has shown a declining defense recently according to advanced statistics, with an average of 2.25 goals conceded compared to 0.8 goals conceded on average for the season
  • The mathematical analysis suggests a potentially low-scoring game, with a 29% probability for 'Both teams to score' and 20% for 'Over 2.5 goals'
概述

Hellas Verona (19th place, 20 points) host Como (6th place, 62 points) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. Serie A match on May 10, 2026, 12:30 PM. Hellas Verona are fighting for survival, while Como are competing for a European spot.

近期状态

Hellas Verona's form in the last five games is LLLDD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Their last two matches ended in draws. Como shows a form of LLLWD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their last game was a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Hellas Verona averages 0.69 goals scored and 1.63 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 0.67 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded. Como is stronger offensively with an average of 1.69 goals per game and a solid defense with 0.8 goals conceded per match. Away from home, Como averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.87 goals conceded. Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi has seen an average of 1.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 1 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 games.

历史交锋

In three head-to-head matches, Hellas Verona have zero wins, Como have two wins, and there has been one draw. Como scored seven goals in these encounters, Hellas Verona four. The last meeting on October 29, 2025, saw Como win away with a 1:3 score. Como has dominated recent head-to-head encounters.

关键球员

For Hellas Verona, Kieron Bowie is an important offensive player with 3 season goals and an average rating of 6.9 in his last five games. Andrias Edmundsson has scored one goal in his last five games with an average rating of 6.82. Roberto Gagliardini shows stable form with an average rating of 6.86 in his last five games. For Como, Nico Paz is a key player with 12 season goals and 6 assists, an average rating of 7.53, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist recently. Lucas Da Cunha shows rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last five games. Anastasios Douvikas has scored 1 goal in his last five games, but his form is declining. Not nominated for Como are Martin Baturina (6 goals, 3 assists) and Jacobo Ramón (2 goals, 0 assists).

门将

Lorenzo Montipò for Hellas Verona has kept 6 clean sheets in 32 season appearances. Jean Butez for Como has kept 17 clean sheets in 35 season appearances, demonstrating a strong season performance.

影响因素

Hellas Verona has scored an average of 0.67 goals and conceded 1.39 goals per game at their home stadium. Como has shown strong away performance with an average of 1.67 goals scored and 0.87 goals conceded. At Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, the last five games averaged 1.4 goals per match.

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