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Serie A

Pisa - Napoli

05/17/2026, 10:00 AM

0 : 3
预期进球
Pisa
0.7
Total xG
2.1
Napoli
1.4
最可能的比分

0:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:1

14%

0:2

12%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
PISNAP

Pisa

排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第2位, 相差18位)
-0.13
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
12%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.1球 vs 总体0.8球)

Napoli

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.13
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第20位, 相差18位)
+0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.04
Matteo Politano 未进大名单 (2球, 5助攻)
Kevin De Bruyne 替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Miguel Gutiérrez替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

17%

平局

31%

客胜

52%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

48%

客胜或平局

83%

非平局

69%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Clear table difference: Napoli is in 2nd place, while Pisa is in last place 20
  • Pisa's poor form: The home team lost their last five consecutive matches
  • Pipeline probability: Mathematical analysis predicts an away win with a probability of 52%
风险因素
  • Pisa scores only an average of 0.69 home goals per game
  • Limited data availability for duel statistics
概述

Pisa (20th place, 18 points) host Napoli (2nd place, 70 points) in a Serie A match at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

The match takes place on May 17, 2026, 12:00 PM

Napoli are aiming for Champions League qualification, while Pisa are battling against relegation

近期状态

Pisa's current form across all competitions is LLLLL (0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses)

Pisa's last five games resulted in five consecutive losses

Napoli shows a form of DLWDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

Their last five matches yielded one win, two draws, and two losses for Napoli

统计数据

Pisa averages 0.69 goals scored per game and concedes 1.83 goals this season

At home, Pisa scores an average of 0.69 goals and concedes 1.77 goals

The team kept five clean sheets this season, four of them at home

Napoli averages 1.5 goals scored per game and concedes 1.0 goals

Away from home, Napoli scores 1.47 goals per game and concedes 1.20 goals

Napoli recorded 13 clean sheets this season, seven of them away

The Arena Garibaldi averages 2.4 total goals per game in the last five matches

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games

历史交锋

Historically, there has been one head-to-head encounter between these teams

Napoli won this single match, leading the record with 1-0 victories

The last meeting ended in a 3-2 victory for Napoli on September 22, 2025

Napoli dominated the only direct encounter

关键球员

Pisa relies on Stefano Moreo, who contributed 6 goals and 1 assist this season

Mehdi Léris scored 2 goals and 3 assists and shows stable form

Antonio Caracciolo has scored 2 goals, but his form is declining

For Napoli, Rasmus Højlund is a key player with 10 goals and 4 assists, showing good form

Scott McTominay contributed 9 goals and 3 assists and shows stable form

Alisson Santos is another important attacking force with 4 goals and also shows stable form

门将

Pisa's goalkeeper Adrian Semper made 23 appearances

Pisa's team kept five clean sheets this season

Napoli relies on goalkeeper Alex Meret, who played in 9 games

Napoli recorded 13 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Pisa scores an average of 0.69 goals at home and concedes 1.77 goals

The Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani saw an average of 2.4 goals in the last five matches

Both teams scored in 60% of recent games at this stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%

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