Serie A
Inter - Hellas Verona
05/17/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
2.1
2.8
0.7
2:0
14%1:1
10%3:0
10%2:1
9%3:1
7%xG 分解
Inter
Hellas Verona
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
70%
平局
21%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
30%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Inter has only 52% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available, with Federico Dimarco, Marcus Thuram, Nicolò Barella, Piotr Zieliński, Alessandro Bastoni, Yann Bisseck, and Manuel Akanji missing
- The mathematical analysis shows a high probability of an Inter home win at 70%
- Hellas Verona shows poor form with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 games and concedes an average of 1.78 goals per away match
风险因素
- Hellas Verona averaged only 3 shots on target in recent matches
- Hellas Verona's goal production is currently stalled at an average of 0.5 goals, compared to their season average of 0.8 goals
概述
Inter (1st place, 85 points) host Hellas Verona (19th place, 20 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The Serie A match takes place on May 17, 2026, 3:00 PM. League leaders Inter face a relegation-threatened opponent with minimal chances of survival.
近期状态
Inter shows excellent form with a 'WDWWW' in their last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, most recently with three consecutive wins. Hellas Verona, on the other hand, is in crisis with a 'LLDDL' form. They failed to win any of their last five matches, drawing 2 times and suffering 3 losses, most recently a loss.
统计数据
Inter has been offensively strong throughout the season, averaging 2.36 goals scored per game and maintaining a stable defense with only 0.86 goals conceded. At home, they are particularly effective, scoring 2.33 goals and conceding 0.71. Hellas Verona, however, averages only 0.67 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.61 goals. Away from home, their conceded goal average is 1.78. The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza averages 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 60% of games.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Inter dominated with 4 wins and 1 draw against Hellas Verona. Inter scored a total of 12 goals, while Hellas Verona managed 4 goals. The last meeting on November 2, 2025, ended with a 2-1 home win for Inter.
关键球员
For Inter, Lautaro Martínez is a crucial attacker with 17 season goals and 6 assists, holding an average rating of 7.37. Petar Sučić shows rising form with 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games and a season rating of 6.79. Henrikh Mkhitaryan contributed 2 goals in the last 5 games and has a season rating of 6.94. For Hellas Verona, Kieron Bowie is an important attacker with 3 season goals and 2 goals in the last 5 games, rated 6.87. Defender Martin Frese scored 2 season goals with a rating of 6.89. Midfielder Antoine Bernede has 1 season goal and 2 assists with a rating of 6.68.
门将
In goal for Inter is Yann Sommer, who kept 18 clean sheets in 32 appearances this season. For Hellas Verona, Lorenzo Montipò guards the net, achieving 6 clean sheets in 33 appearances.
影响因素
Inter benefits from a strong home advantage at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, where they average 2.33 goals scored and concede only 0.71 goals. Hellas Verona is defensively vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per game. The stadium itself tends to be high-scoring, averaging 3.0 goals per game.