Serie A
Roma - Lazio
05/17/2026, 10:00 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Roma
Lazio
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
30%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Roma is in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 45% and 1.44 expected home goals for Roma
- Roma plays with a strong home record, averaging 1.55 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per home game
风险因素
- Lazio averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating an average offensive output
- Lazio is missing five players due to muscle injuries, shoulder problems, a suspension, and thigh problems
概述
AS Roma (5th place, 67 points) host Lazio (9th place, 51 points) in the Derby della Capitale at the Stadio Olimpico
Serie A match on May 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
Roma is fighting for a European qualification spot, while Lazio is positioned in the mid-table
近期状态
Roma shows excellent form with WDWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last five matches, they recorded 4 wins and 1 draw
Most recently, Roma won 3-2 away against Parma
This was followed by a 4-0 home win against Fiorentina and a 2-0 away win against Bologna
Lazio has a form of DDWLL, suffering 2 losses, 2 draws, and 1 win in their last five games
Lazio lost their last two matches 0-2 and 0-3 against Inter respectively
统计数据
Roma averages 1.53 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded per game
At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 1.55 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded
Lazio averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.03 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Lazio scores an average of 1.08 goals and concedes 1 goal
Roma achieved 16 clean sheets this season, Lazio 15
At the Stadio Olimpico, an average of 3.4 goals were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches (40%) at the Stadio Olimpico
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches (60%) at the Stadio Olimpico
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Roma leads with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Lazio, with 1 match ending in a draw
The goal difference is 5:2 in favor of Roma
The last encounter was won by Roma 1-0 at home on September 21, 2025
Roma has shown dominance in recent direct encounters
关键球员
Donyell Malen from Roma is a key player with 13 goals and 2 assists this season, showing rising form with 6 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Mario Hermoso, a Roma defender, contributed 3 goals and 2 assists this season, with a strong rising form of 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches
Niccolò Pisilli, a midfielder for Roma, scored 2 goals and 3 assists this season, and his form is rising with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Tijjani Noslin is Lazio's most dangerous attacker with 4 goals and 1 assist this season, his form is rising with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Matteo Cancellieri from Lazio contributed 4 goals and 2 assists this season, his form is stable with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 matches
Boulaye Dia, also an attacker for Lazio, scored 1 goal and 2 assists this season and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games
门将
Mile Svilar is Roma's goalkeeper and has made 36 appearances this season
Roma kept 16 clean sheets this season
Alessio Furlanetto is in goal for Lazio but has no appearances this season
Lazio achieved 15 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Roma enjoys a significant home advantage, averaging 1.55 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded in home matches
The history at the Stadio Olimpico shows an average of 3.4 goals per game
2 out of 5 matches at the stadium ended with both teams scoring and 3 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals