Serie A
Udinese - Cremonese
05/17/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.1
0.6
1:0
16%0:0
14%2:0
13%1:1
13%2:1
8%xG 分解
Udinese
Cremonese
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
30%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
38%
否
62%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win with 56% probability and 1.47 expected home goals
- Current Form: Udinese displays significantly better form with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games compared to Cremonese
- Tactical Advantage: Udinese is scoring more frequently recently (2.0) than their season average (1.3), while Cremonese concedes many away goals (1.75)
风险因素
- Squad Availability: Udinese has only 88% of their usual starting eleven's goal threat; key players like N. Zaniolo (5 goals, 6 assists) and J. Ekkelenkamp (5 goals, 3 assists) are missing
- Low Scoring Venue: The Dacia Arena has seen an average of only 1.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
- Home Team Possession: Udinese averaged 47% possession in their last 5 games, indicating a more passive playing style
概述
Udinese (10th place, 50 points) host Cremonese (18th place, 31 points) at the Dacia Arena
Serie A match on May 17, 2026, 8:45 PM
Udinese are in mid-table, while Cremonese are fighting against relegation
近期状态
Udinese's form across all competitions is WLDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Udinese's recent results include 2:0 vs Cagliari (A), 2:0 vs Torino (H), 3:3 vs Lazio (A), 0:1 vs Parma (H), and 3:0 vs AC Milan (A)
Cremonese's form across all competitions is LDLLW
The visitors achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games
Cremonese's recent results include 3:0 vs Pisa (H), 1:2 vs Lazio (H), 0:4 vs Napoli (A), 0:0 vs Torino (H), and 0:1 vs Cagliari (A)
统计数据
Udinese scores an average of 1.25 goals per game and concedes 1.28 goals
Cremonese scores an average of 0.83 goals and concedes 1.47 goals per game
Udinese kept 11 clean sheets, while Cremonese managed 10
Udinese scored in 17 matches, Cremonese in 15 matches
The Dacia Arena has seen an average of 1.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 0 of 5 matches at the Dacia Arena, both teams scored
1 of 5 matches at the Dacia Arena ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams
The last encounter on October 20, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
Both teams scored 1 goal in their direct clashes
The historical record is even
关键球员
Udinese relies on Keinan Davis (Attacker) with 10 season goals and 4 assists
Arthur Atta (Midfielder) contributed 5 goals and 3 assists and shows a rising form trend
Oumar Solet (Defender) scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist
Cremonese's offense is led by Federico Bonazzoli (Attacker) with 9 season goals and 2 assists
Jamie Vardy (Attacker) contributed 6 goals and 2 assists
Youssef Maleh (Midfielder) scored 1 season goal
门将
Udinese is expected to start Maduka Okoye in goal, who recorded 11 clean sheets this season
For Cremonese, Emil Audero will be between the posts, having kept 10 clean sheets
影响因素
Udinese scored an average of 1.29 home goals and conceded 1.43 home goals
Cremonese scored an average of 0.81 away goals and conceded 1.75 away goals
The Dacia Arena has an average of 1.4 goals per game
In 0 of 5 matches at the Dacia Arena, both teams scored