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Serie A

Cagliari - Torino

05/17/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Cagliari
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Torino
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

12%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
CAGTOR

Cagliari

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.38
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
Michael Folorunsho替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Torino

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03
Ché Adams替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Cesare Casadei替补席 (5球, 0助攻)
Valentino Lazaro替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

33%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Slight favoritism for Torino: The mathematical analysis sees Torino with a 38% win probability
  • Torino's better offense and form trend: Torino is currently scoring more (1.5 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals), while Cagliari is stagnant (1.0 goals)
  • Torino's weak away defense: Torino concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game, offering Cagliari a chance to score at home
风险因素
  • Torino concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game
  • Torino averaged only 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Cagliari has several players out due to injury or suspension, including L. Mazzitelli and R. Idrissi
概述

Cagliari (16th place, 37 points) host Torino (12th place, 44 points) at the Sardegna Arena. The Serie A match will take place on May 17, 2026, 8:45 PM. Cagliari is battling against relegation, while Torino is positioned in the middle of the table.

近期状态

Cagliari's form in the last 5 games is WLWDL, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Cagliari's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.0 goals per game, with a season average of 1.2 goals. Torino shows a form of WDDLW, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Torino is currently scoring more with 1.5 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.3 goals. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Cagliari scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.42 goals per game this season. In home matches, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded. Torino averages 1.14 goals scored per game and concedes 1.64 goals per game. Away from home, Torino scores 1.14 goals but concedes 2.29 goals per match. The Sardegna Arena has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and 2 of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In the previous 5 head-to-head matches, the record is balanced: Cagliari won 2 games, Torino also 2, and 1 match ended in a draw. Cagliari scored a total of 6 goals, while Torino recorded 7 goals. The last encounter on December 27, 2025, ended with a 2:1 victory for Cagliari.

关键球员

For Cagliari, Sebastiano Esposito stands out with 6 goals and 5 assists this season, scoring 1 goal in the last 5 games and showing stable form. Paul Mendy has been in good form in the last 5 matches with 2 goals in 5 appearances. Michel Adopo has 1 goal and 2 assists this season, contributing 1 assist in the last 5 games, also with stable form. For Torino, Giovanni Simeone is the top scorer with 11 season goals, 3 of which came in the last 5 games. Nikola Vlašić has scored 8 goals and provided 3 assists this season, contributing 1 goal in the last 5 matches. Marcus Pedersen has shown rising form in the last 5 games with 1 goal and 2 assists.

门将

For Cagliari, Elia Caprile is in goal, having recorded 8 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.93. He shows stable form. For Torino, Alberto Paleari is the goalkeeper, with 12 clean sheets in fewer appearances and an average rating of 6.92. His form trend is rising, with a last 5 games rating of 7.25.

影响因素

Cagliari appears defensively more stable at their home stadium, conceding an average of 1.1 goals. Torino is more vulnerable away, conceding 2.29 goals per game. The Sardegna Arena recently averaged 2.4 goals per match. The pitch surface is grass.

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