Serie A
Como - Parma
05/17/2026, 10:00 AM
预期进球
1.9
2.5
0.6
2:0
15%1:0
15%1:1
11%0:0
10%3:0
9%xG 分解
Como
Parma
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
67%
平局
23%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
33%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of 67% for a Como home win
- Como is significantly higher in the league table (6th place) than Parma (13th place) and shows a superior defense (0.78 goals conceded/game)
- Como's ball-dominant playing style (56% possession, avg 4.2 shots on target) meets Parma's counter-attacking approach (39% possession, avg 2.2 shots on target)
风险因素
- Como's goal production shows a negative trend (currently 1.5 goals/game compared to 2.1 season average)
- Parma recorded only an average of 2.2 shots on target per game in their last five matches
- Como is missing Nico Paz (12 goals/6 assists) and Álex Valle (1 goal/4 assists), reducing the active starting XI's goal threat by 12%
概述
Como (6th place, 65 points) host Parma (13th place, 42 points) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Serie A match on May 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
The hosts aim to solidify their position in the top half of the table, while Parma seeks to stay clear of the relegation zone
近期状态
Como's form in the last five games is L-L-W-D-W (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Their last victory was a 1-0 away win against Hellas Verona
Parma's form in the last five games is D-W-W-L-L (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Their last two matches resulted in losses, including a 2-3 home defeat against Roma
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Como scored an average of 1.67 goals per game this season and conceded 0.78 goals
At home, they average 1.70 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded per game
Parma averaged 0.75 goals scored and conceded 1.25 goals per game
Away from home, Parma scored 0.75 goals and conceded 1.25 goals per away game
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia sees an average of 3.0 goals per match
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In the three head-to-head matches, Como recorded one home win and two draws
Como scored 2 goals in these matches, Parma scored 1 goal
The last encounter on October 25, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
关键球员
For Como, key attackers include Anastasios Douvikas with 13 goals and 1 assist in 36 season appearances
Lucas Da Cunha contributed 4 goals and 5 assists in 34 games
Martin Baturina scored 6 goals and 3 assists in 27 season appearances
For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino is a key player with 8 goals and 1 assist in 35 appearances
Gabriel Strefezza scored 2 goals and 2 assists in 13 season appearances
Mandela Keita contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 35 season appearances
门将
Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez kept 18 clean sheets this season
Parma's goalkeeper Zion Suzuki achieved 8 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Como scores an average of 1.70 goals at home and concedes 0.75 goals, suggesting a home advantage
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia averages 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 60%
The pitch surface is grass