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Serie A

Hellas Verona - Roma

05/24/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Hellas Verona
0.7
Total xG
1.8
Roma
1.1
最可能的比分

0:0

18%

0:1

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

10%

0:2

10%
xG 分解
HVROM

Hellas Verona

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.60
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.59
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第4位, 相差15位)
-0.13
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
-0.09
Antoine Bernede替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Roma

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.25
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.25
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第19位, 相差15位)
+0.07
Wesley未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Evan Ndicka未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Neil El Aynaoui替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

36%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

55%

Under 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

27%

Under 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

64%

双方进球

36%

64%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Roma with a 42% win probability compared to 23% for Hellas Verona
  • Form Difference: Roma is in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, while Hellas Verona remained winless (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)
  • Statistical Superiority: Roma averages 1.54 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.84 goals, compared to Hellas Verona's 0.68 goals scored and 1.59 goals conceded
  • Tactical Strength: Roma averaged 6.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating an offensive approach
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for similar weather conditions
  • Hellas Verona showed low goal threat with an average of 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • The Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi is historically a low-scoring venue with an average of 1.0 goals per game
概述

Hellas Verona (19th place, 21 points) host Roma (4th place, 70 points) at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. The Serie A match takes place on May 24, 2026, 8:45 PM. While Hellas Verona fight against relegation, Roma are aiming for a Champions League spot.

近期状态

Hellas Verona is in a difficult phase, with a form of LDDLD in their last five games, corresponding to 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a draw.

Roma, on the other hand, shows strong form with a record of DWWWW in their last five matches. This includes 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with their last game being a win.

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Hellas Verona scores an average of 0.68 goals per game and concedes 1.59 goals per game. At home, they average 0.67 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded.

Roma is offensively stronger with an average of 1.54 goals per game and concedes only 0.84 goals. Away from home, Roma scores 1.5 goals and concedes 1.31 goals.

The Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi has seen an average of 1.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches. In none of these games did both teams score, and no match ended with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hellas Verona secured 2 wins and Roma claimed 3 wins. There were no draws in these encounters.

Hellas Verona scored a total of 6 goals, while Roma scored 8 goals.

The last meeting was won by Roma with a 2-0 score on September 28, 2025. Roma has been the more dominant side in recent direct confrontations.

关键球员

For Hellas Verona, Kieron Bowie is a key attacker with 4 season goals. Martin Frese and Rafik Belghali each contributed 2 season goals.

For Roma, Donyell Malen stands out with 13 goals and 2 assists. Matías Soulé is another key player with 6 goals and 5 assists, while Paulo Dybala contributed 2 goals and 5 assists.

门将

Lorenzo Montipò of Hellas Verona played 34 times this season and kept 6 clean sheets.

Mile Svilar of Roma appeared 37 times in goal, keeping 17 clean sheets.

影响因素

The Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi is known for low-scoring games, with an average of 1.0 goals per game in the last five matches. A statistic of 0/5 games where both teams scored and 0/5 games with over 2.5 goals highlights this trend.

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