Serie A
AC Milan - Cagliari
05/24/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.6
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
AC Milan
Cagliari
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
55%
平局
27%
客胜
18%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
82%
客胜或平局
45%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 55% for AC Milan
- AC Milan demonstrates a strong home record with an average of 1.41 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded
- Cagliari has a weak away defense, conceding an average of 1.81 goals per game
风险因素
- Cagliari averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Cagliari concedes an average of 1.81 goals per away game
概述
AC Milan (3rd place, 70 points) host Cagliari (16th place, 40 points) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Serie A match on May 24, 2026, 8:45 PM. Milan is fighting for a Champions League spot, while Cagliari needs crucial points in the relegation battle
近期状态
AC Milan's form in the last five games is WDLLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Cagliari's form in the last five games is LWDLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Both teams secured a win in their last match
统计数据
AC Milan averages 1.41 goals scored per home game and concedes 1.12 goals. Cagliari scores 1.0 goal per away game and concedes an average of 1.81 goals. Milan's season average is 1.41 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded. Cagliari scores 1.03 goals and concedes 1.41 goals per game this season. At Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, an average of 2.8 goals were scored per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between AC Milan and Cagliari, Milan secured 3 wins, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari. The goal difference is 14:6 in favour of Milan. The last encounter on January 2, 2026, ended 1:0 for AC Milan. AC Milan has been dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
For AC Milan, Adrien Rabiot is a key player with 6 goals and 4 assists this season, his performance in the last 5 games is stable (1 goal, avg. 7.12 rating). Christopher Nkunku scored 7 season goals and 3 assists, recently scoring 2 goals with a stable trend. Strahinja Pavlović has 5 season goals and 1 assist, also showing stable form. Not in lineup: Rafael Leão (9G/3A), leaving 80% of the usual starting XI goal threat. For Cagliari, Sebastiano Esposito stands out with 7 goals and 5 assists, his current form is stable (1 goal). Gianluca Gaetano has contributed 2 goals and 4 assists, with 1 assist recently. Yerry Mina scored 2 goals this season and recently scored 1 goal. Not in lineup: Marco Palestra (1G/4A), Paul Mendy (2G/0A) and Michael Folorunsho (2G/0A)
门将
AC Milan's goalkeeper Mike Maignan played 36 times this season and kept 15 clean sheets. Elia Caprile, Cagliari's goalkeeper, played 37 times and achieved 8 clean sheets
影响因素
AC Milan showed a solid performance in 17 home games with 24 goals scored and 19 goals conceded. Cagliari scored 16 goals in 16 away games and conceded 29 goals. Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, with an average of 2.8 goals per game, is a venue with a relatively high number of goals. The grass surface is to be expected