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Serie A

Lecce - Genoa

05/24/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Lecce
1.0
Total xG
2.3
Genoa
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

11%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
LECGEN

Lecce

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.35
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.28
状态上升 (1.5 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.20
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.10
M. Berisha未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

Genoa

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
Vitinha未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Leo Østigård未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Jeff Ekhator未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
50%进球产出缺失 (仅69%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

31%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

69%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Mathematical Analysis: Genoa is the favorite with a 43% win probability
  • Lecce's Rising Form: Lecce is currently scoring more frequently (avg. 1.5 goals) than their season average (avg. 0.9 goals)
  • Genoa's Tactical Offense: In the last 5 games, Genoa averaged only 2.6 shots on target
风险因素
  • Genoa with only 69% of goal threat available, without Vitinha (5G/1A), Leo Østigård (5G/1A), Jeff Ekhator (3G/0A)
  • Lecce scores an average of only 0.75 home goals per game (homeGoalsScoredAvg)
概述

Lecce (17th place, 35 points) host Genoa (15th place, 41 points) at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare. The Serie A match on May 24, 2026, 8:45 PM, is crucial for staying in the league.

近期状态

Lecce shows a form of DDWLW. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. The trend is positive, as Lecce is currently scoring more frequently (avg. 1.5 goals) than their season average (avg. 0.9 goals).

Genoa's form in the last five games is WLDDL with one win, two draws, and two losses. The form trend is negative, as Genoa's goal production is stagnant (avg. 1.0 goals) compared to their season average (avg. 1.4 goals).

统计数据

Lecce scored an average of 0.73 goals per game this season and conceded 1.35 goals. At home, they scored 0.75 goals and conceded 1.5 goals. They kept nine clean sheets, and both teams scored in 14 matches. Genoa's season average is 1.11 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded. Away from home, they scored 1.12 goals and conceded 1.41 goals. Genoa also recorded nine clean sheets, and both teams scored in 20 matches. The Comunale Via del Mare stadium has seen an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last five matches. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games.

历史交锋

In five head-to-head matches, Lecce secured one win, Genoa two, with two draws. Lecce scored three goals, Genoa four. The last encounter on August 23, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw. Genoa has been the more dominant side in recent meetings.

关键球员

For Lecce, Walid Cheddira (3 goals, 1 assist, avg. 7.21 rating in last 5 games), Lameck Banda (4 goals, 4 assists, avg. 6.90 rating in last 5 games), and Lassana Coulibaly (3 goals, 1 assist, avg. 6.78 rating in last 5 games) are key. Walid Cheddira shows a rising form with 0.85 goals per 90 minutes in the last five games. Lameck Banda and Lassana Coulibaly have stable form. For Genoa, Lorenzo Colombo (7 goals, 1 assist, avg. 6.68 rating in last 5 games), Aarón Martín (1 goal, 5 assists, avg. 6.79 rating in 4 of last 5 games), and Alessandro Marcandalli (0 goals, 2 assists, avg. 6.74 rating in last 5 games) stand out. Lorenzo Colombo scored 1 goal in the last five games, while Aarón Martín has stable form.

门将

Lecce relies on Wladimiro Falcone, who made 37 appearances this season. Genoa is represented by Nicola Leali, who played 21 times. Both teams have recorded nine clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Lecce averages 0.75 goals scored at home and concedes 1.5 goals. The Stadio Comunale Via del Mare is known for an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last five matches. The pitch surface is grass. No specific weather data is available.

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