Serie A
Fiorentina - Atalanta
05/22/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Fiorentina
Atalanta
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
28%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Fiorentina's tactics: Averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Atalanta's stability: Consistently scores (~1.5 goals per game) according to Advanced Stats
- Atalanta's season performance: With 58 points in 7th place, significantly ahead of Fiorentina
风险因素
- Limited goal threat for Atalanta: Only 60% of usual starting XI goal threat available, without Nikola Krstović (10G/5A), Charles De Ketelaere (3G/5A), Nicola Zalewski (2G/4A), Davide Zappacosta (3G/3A), Éderson (2G/1A)
- Fiorentina's goal production is stagnant: According to Advanced Stats, the trend is negative and goal production is at 1.0 compared to the season average of 1.4
概述
Fiorentina (15th place, 41 points) host Atalanta (7th place, 58 points) at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. The Serie A match takes place on May 22, 2026, 8:45 PM. Fiorentina aims to improve their league position, while Atalanta fights for a European competition spot.
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Fiorentina shows mixed form in their last five games with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss (Form: DDLDW)
Their last match was a 2-0 away win against Juventus
Atalanta recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches (Form: DLDWL)
Their last game ended in a 0-1 home loss against Bologna
统计数据
Fiorentina averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per game this season
At home, Fiorentina scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 1.11 goals per match
Atalanta shows a stronger offense with an average of 1.35 goals and a more solid defense with 0.95 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Atalanta scores an average of 1.32 goals and concedes 1.05 goals
This season, Fiorentina saw both teams score in 21 games and over 2.5 goals in 19 games
Atalanta had both teams score in 19 matches, while 14 games featured more than 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters so far, Fiorentina won 2 times, Atalanta won 3 times
There have been 0 draws between the two teams
Fiorentina scored a total of 7 goals, while Atalanta managed 11 goals
Atalanta is considered the dominant team in recent head-to-head matches
The last encounter on November 30, 2025, ended in a 2-0 home win for Atalanta against Fiorentina
关键球员
For Fiorentina, key players include:
Rolando Mandragora (Midfielder) with 7 goals and 3 assists this season, recently 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 games
Albert Gudmundsson (Attacker) with 5 goals and 4 assists this season
Robin Gosens (Defender) with 3 goals and 1 assist this season
For Atalanta, crucial players are:
Giorgio Scalvini (Defender) with 3 goals and 1 assist this season, recently 1 assist in 5 games
Giacomo Raspadori (Attacker) with 3 goals and 1 assist this season, recently 1 goal in 5 games
Mario Pašalić (Midfielder) with 3 goals and 5 assists this season, recently 1 goal in 5 games
门将
Oliver Christensen is in goal for Fiorentina, the team kept 10 clean sheets this season
Marco Sportiello is the goalkeeper for Atalanta, the team recorded 13 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Fiorentina averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded at home
The Stadio Artemio Franchi averages 1.2 goals per game
In the last 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored in 2 instances (40%) and there was over 2.5 goals in 1 instance (20%)
The mathematical analysis sees Fiorentina as winner with a probability of 39%